沙特阿拉伯石油部长称50美元油价下,页岩油和高成本生产商将不会增加产量,原油市场将会复苏。
工业、矿业和能源部长Khalid Al-Falih在维也纳酒店套房告诉记者:“油价需达到每桶50美元以上,市场的原油供应量才会增加”。
周四在奥地利首都维也纳举行了石油输出国组织一年两次的会议,会后Khalid Al-Falih表示:“我已同很多行业高管和董事会成员进行了交流,我认为油价在50美元时行业内的投资将不会快速增加”。
欧佩克组织的原油产量约占全球总产量40%,由于该组织的13个成员国在周四举行的会议中未达成共识,因此决定将继续坚持不限产政策。会议召开之际,油价已从1月份的30美元每桶恢复到50美元每桶,这意味着随着高成本生产商削减产量,欧佩克组织在全球原油产量过剩条件下坚持沙特2014年提出的维持产量政策取得了效果。
Al-Falih在上月取代了Ali al-Naimi成为了新的石油部长,他表示自己也不清楚油价多少时才能使原油供应量快速恢复。
他表示:“我不清楚油价具体是多少,但我认为应该需要高于50美元,之前油价在100到110美元时,原油供应量会过剩,因此我猜想油价应在50到100美元间才能使原油达到供需平衡”。
Al-Falih称在不扰乱市场平衡的条件下,沙特阿拉伯不会反对,反而对页岩油的开发表示欢迎。
Al-Falih表示:“页岩油的日产量增加了200000至300000桶,对于市场来说,页岩油填补了市场空白是必要的,但页岩油不应该在2015年前日产量已达到800000桶的条件下继续增长”。
来自/Worldoil 6月5日消息 编译/吴海君
VIENNA, Austria (Bloomberg) — Oil prices at $50 won’t allow shale oil and other higher-cost producers to lift supply to levels that hinder market recovery, Saudi Arabia’s oil minister said.
Prices need to be at level above $50/bbl for more crude supplies to come back to the market following a slump over the past two years, Khalid Al-Falih, Minister of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources, told reporters in his suite in a Vienna hotel.
“I talk to a lot of industry executives and board members. I don’t think you are going to see a rush back into investments at $50,” he said after attending the biannual meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries on Thursday in the Austrian capital.
OPEC, which produces about 40% of the world’s crude output, decided Thursday to stick to its policy of unfettered production after its 13 members failed to agree on a ceiling. Thursday’s meeting follows a recovery in oil to almost $50/bbl from below $30 in January. That suggests OPEC’s Saudi-led decision in 2014 to maintain output amid a global glut is finally paying off, with higher-cost producers cutting back.
Oil Prices
Al-Falih, who was appointed oil minister last month to replace Ali al-Naimi, said that he doesn’t have a clear number for the price that will allow crude supply to come back rapidly.
“I don’t know what that level is,” he said. “But I think the level is going to be higher than $50. I think we tested $100 to $110 and we’ve found it was bringing in too much supply. So take a guess, it’s somewhere in between.”
Saudi Arabia is not against shale oil development and would like to see more of such supplies, though at levels that don’t disrupt the market balance, Al-Falih said.
Shale production growth of 200,000 to 300,000 bpd is “fine,” Al-Falih said. Shale output is necessary because it fills a gap in the market, but its growth should not be at levels before 2015 when annual production was rising by 800,000 bpd, he said.
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