随着原油供需逐渐平衡,阿拉伯联合酋长国的经济部长预测今年油价将突破60美元。
阿联酋经济部长Bin Saeed Al Mansoori周一在阿布扎比的一次会议上表示:“随着美国对原油的需求量增加,油价有望在今夏达到60美元或更高”。 Standard Chartered银行全球首席经济学家Mario Maratheftis在接受彭博电视台采访时称:“年底油价将超过60美元”。 上周SEB银行预测2016年布伦特油价将达到60美元。
随着美国削减过剩原油量,原油库存随之下降,导致今年原油期货上涨31%,上周油价也超过50美元/桶。印度和其他新兴国家强劲的需求导致国际能源署在5月减少全球石油上半年贸易顺差的预估值,7月布伦特原油的最新一笔交易超过了60美元。Maratheftis称:“我们一直非常看好石油的前景,担心原油供应崩溃, 现在的需求仍然非常强劲,预计油价将继续上升。”
上周四以50.51美元交易后,迪拜凌晨2点公布的7月布伦特原油结算下跌0.3%,报49.15美元/桶。
来自/Worldoil 6月2日消息 编译/吴海君
The United Arab Emirates’s economy minister joined forecasters looking for $60 crude this year with demand and production moving more in line.
“It’s possible for oil prices to reach $60 or more during this summer” as demand increases in the U.S., U.A.E. Economy Minister Sultan Bin Saeed Al Mansoori said at a conference in Abu Dhabi on Monday. Crude will end the year higher than $60/bbl, Mario Maratheftis, global chief economist at Standard Chartered Plc, said on Bloomberg TV. SEB Bank forecast last week that Brent would touch $60 at times in 2016.
Oil futures jumped 31% this year, climbing above $50/bbl last week, as U.S. crude stockpiles declined, trimming a glut. Robust demand in India and other emerging nations led the International Energy Agency in May to reduce its estimate of the global oil surplus for the first half. Brent last traded above $60 in July.
“We’ve always been incredibly bullish on oil,” Maratheftis said. “We expected supply to collapse. Demand is still very strong. I would expect oil prices to keep rising.”
Brent for July settlement fell 0.3% to $49.15/bbl by 2:25 p.m. in Dubai, after trading at $50.51 last Thursday.
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