石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据世界石油3月11日休斯敦报道，据国际能源署（IEA）预计，美国将在未来五年里推动和引领全球石油供应增长，使该国本已迅速增长的石油日产量再增加400万桶。 IEA称，到2024年，美国石油日产量将从去年的1550万桶升至1960万桶。原油出口总量将翻番，这将导致全球市场更激烈的竞争，尤其是在亚洲市场。 这一前景表明，由于美国和其他竞争对手扩大原油供应，对来自石油输出国组织(欧佩克)的原油需求将面临压力。不过，国际能源署认为，全球石油需求尚未见顶，这将提振石油生产国的信心。 为美国和其他工业化国家提供能源咨询的IEA在其5年展望报告中表示：“美国正日益引领全球石油供应增长，其他非欧佩克产油国的石油产量也出现了显著增长，包括巴西、挪威和新产油国圭亚那。” 美国因页岩油出现的石油供应热潮与欧佩克及其以俄罗斯为首的合作伙伴限制供应的努力背道而驰。所谓的欧佩克+集团在2019年开始新一轮石油供应削减来支撑油价。 李峻 编译自 世界石油 原文如下： US expected to lead global oil supply growth to 2024 The United States is expected to drive global oil supply growth over the next five years, adding another 4 million barrels per day to the country’s already booming output, according to the International Energy Agency. U.S. oil output will climb to 19.6 MMbpd by 2024 from 15.5 million last year, the Paris-based agency said. Gross crude exports will double, leading to greater competition especially in the Asian market. The outlook points to pressure on demand for crude from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries as the United States and other rivals expand supplies. However, in a boost for the producers, the IEA doesn’t see a peak in global demand yet. “The United States is increasingly leading the expansion in global oil supplies, with significant growth also seen among other non-OPEC producers, including Brazil, Norway and new producer Guyana,” the IEA, an adviser to the United States and other industrialized countries, said in its five-year outlook. A boom in U.S. oil supply due to shale oil has countered efforts by OPEC and its partners led by Russia to restrain supplies. The so-called OPEC+ group began a new round of oil supply cuts in 2019 to support prices.
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