石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据世界石油网站2月27日卡尔加里报道 艾伯塔省油砂产量的持续增长和今年上半年原油价格的上涨，通过影响经济增长的管道匮乏推高了该省的预算。 政府预计到三月份的财政年度赤字将达52.7亿美元（69.3亿加元），这一数字低于3月份的原始预测值88亿加元和11月份的最新预测值75.1亿加元。 推动财务状况改善的是艾伯塔省丰富的油砂产量的小幅且稳定增长，这也体现着其世界第三大原油储备的地位，也是今年上半年油价上涨的体现。尽管缺乏管道空间和存在着一项将在今年上半年减少产量的临时削减计划，但数年来开始大量生产石油的大型项目推动的产量增长即将到来。 艾伯塔省预测，2019年该省的石油产量将增加约13.2万桶/日，增幅为3.8%，其中大部分将在下半年实现，因为新管道投入使用，削减计划也将逐步取消，这一增长将伴随着去年近10%的增长。 然而，管道瓶颈已经使石油生产商的资本支出降温，这正影响着该省的经济增长。政府预计去年的经济增长率为2.4%，低于3月份预测的2.7%。今年艾伯塔省预计经济增长率为1.6%，低于3月份预测的2.5%。 王磊 摘译自 世界石油 原文如下： Resilient oil sands power Alberta budget through pipeline morass A relentless increase in production from Alberta’s oil sands and higher crude prices in the first half of the year are powering the province’s budget through a pipeline shortage that has weighed on economic growth. The government is projecting a deficit of $5.27 billion (C$6.93 billion) for the fiscal year that runs through March. That’s down from an original forecast of C$8.8 billion in March and C$7.51 billion in an update in November. Driving the improving financial picture is a small but steady increase in output from Alberta’s prolific oil sands, which represent the world’s third-largest crude reserves, as well as a surge in oil prices in the first half of the year. The production gain, fueled by large projects that took years to start churning out oil, is coming despite a shortage of pipeline space and a temporary curtailment plan that will reduce output in the first half of this year. Alberta forecast that oil production in the province will increase by about 132,000 bpd in 2019, a gain of 3.8%, with most of that in the second half of the year as new pipelines come into service and the curtailment plan is phased out. That increase would follow an almost 10% gain last year. However, the pipeline bottleneck has chilled capital spending by oil producers, which is weighing on economic growth in the province. The government estimates economic growth of 2.4% for last year, down from a forecast of 2.7% in March. For the current year, Alberta is projecting economic growth of 1.6%, down from a 2.5% forecast in March. US crude oil imports averaged 5.9 million b/d, down by 1.6 million b/d from the previous week. Over the last 4 weeks, crude oil imports averaged 6.7 million b/d, 10.9% less than the same period last year. Total motor gasoline imports averaged 473,000 b/d. Distillate fuel imports averaged 331,000 b/d.
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