石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社纽约、华盛顿消息，一年前，美国政府预计2042年美国原油产量平均为1195万桶/日，而今年的页岩钻塔数量显示，美国石油产量将超过这个数字。 根据能源信息署（EIA）上周四发布的年度能源展望，该署目前估计，到2031年，其产出将达到1453万桶/日。 为什么会有如此大的不同？根据EIA评估，近期原油价格高于该机构去年假设的水平，从而提高了基线产量。 EIA署长Linda Capuano表示，EIA本月早些时候在其短期展望中指出的：明年美国将成为石油和能源的净出口国，比先前的年度估计要快好几年，而这是由于原油和天然气液体生产增长较快，再加上需求增长缓慢造成的。 总部位于华盛顿的咨询公司ClearView Energy董事总经理Kevin Book称：“美国转向净出口的时间应该是五到六年。” 詹晓晶摘自彭博社 原文如下： U.S. oil production is only 23 years ahead of schedule, EIA says A year ago, the U.S. government saw American crude production averaging 11.95 MMbpd in 2042. Shale drillers are set to exceed that this year. The Energy Information Administration now estimates output will top out at 14.53 MMbpd in 2031, according to its Annual Energy Outlook released Thursday. Why such a big difference? Near-term prices are higher than what the agency assumed last year, boosting the baseline production, according to the EIA. The U.S. will be a net exporter of petroleum — and energy in general — next year, years sooner than previous annual estimates, something the EIA flagged in its short-term outlook earlier this month. That’s due to the faster increases in crude and natural gas liquids production, combined with slower demand growth, according to EIA Administrator Linda Capuano. “America’s move to net exports was supposed to be five or six years off,” said Kevin Book, managing director of the Washington-based consultancy ClearView Energy Partners LLC.
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