石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯纽约消息，根据标普全球普氏周二调查的分析师表示，美国精炼产品库存可能在上周继续增加，因为炼油厂的运营量远高于历史平均水平。 调查显示，截至1月18日的一周内，美国汽油库存可能增加290万桶，至2.585亿桶左右。分析人士预计，上周的蒸馏油库存可能增加90万桶，至约1.439亿桶。 美国能源情报署（EIA）的数据显示，预计的汽油产量将标志着库存连续第八次增加，并将使库存比五年平均水平高出近5.8%。 预期的连续第五次蒸馏油产量增加将使库存低于五年平均水平1%。稳步增长已将赤字从去年12月中旬近11%的峰值水平拉低至5年来的平均水平。 但精炼产品库存增长的步伐已经明显放缓。 上周汽油库存的增长预计将是12月中旬以来最小的，不到前一周EIA报告的750多万桶上涨幅度的一半。在截至1月11日的这一周里，预计的蒸馏油产量也是四周内最小的，不到300万桶产量的三分之一。 分析师表示，炼油企业可能将运行率调回0.2个百分点，至总产能的94.4%左右。尽管预期的下滑将使利用率比12月下旬的峰值低2.8个百分点，这可能在一定程度上造成了产品生产的放缓，但从历史上看，该运行率仍然非常强劲，上周的下降将使全国的利用率比上年同期高出3.5个百分点，比五年平均水平高出7.5%以上。 詹晓晶 摘自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： US refined products build likely to continue as refinery runs remain strong: analysts The buildup in US refined product stocks likely continued last week as refinery runs held substantially above historic averages, according to analysts surveyed by S&P Global Platts Tuesday. Nationwide gasoline stocks likely rose 2.9 million barrels to around 258.5 million barrels in the week that ended January 18, a consensus of the analysts surveyed showed. Distillate stocks were expected by analysts to increase 900,000 barrels to around 143.9 million barrels last week. The expected gasoline build would mark the eighth consecutive inventory increase and would push stocks to nearly 5.8% above the five-year average, according to US Energy Information Administration data. An expected fifth straight distillate build would put stocks less than 1% below the five-year average. A steady increase has pared the deficit to the five-year average from a peak of nearly 11% in mid-December. But the pace of refined product inventory builds has notably slowed. Last week’s gasoline stocks increase was expected to be the smallest since mid-December and less than half the more than 7.5-million barrel jump EIA reported for the week prior. The expected distillate build was also the smallest in four weeks and less than a third of a nearly 3 million barrel build in the week that ended January 11. Refiners likely dialed back run rates by 0.2 percentage points to around 94.4% of total capacity, analysts said. While the expected decline would put utilization rates 2.8 percentage points lower than a late December peak, likely contributing in part to the slower product build, run rates remain historically very strong. Last week’s dip would put nationwide utilization 3.5 percentage points above the year-ago level and more than 7.5% above the five-year average.
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