石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社1月15日纽约报道，美国能源信息署（EIA）在其首次2020年预测中说，今年来自美国的原油日产量预计将上升到一个超过1200万桶的新纪录以及在明年原油日产量将攀升至近1300万桶。 美国能源部麾下的统计部门在一份月度报告中称，2019年美国原油日产量预计将攀升114万桶至1207万桶，2020年将增加79万桶至1286万桶。 在页岩地层产量的推动下，美国已成为全球最大的原油生产国，2018年的日产量接近1100万桶，打破了1970年创下的年度纪录。 EIA署长Linda Capuano在预测后发表的评论中称：“包括美国在内的非欧佩克国家原油产量的稳定增长成为了全球原油产量预测的头条。我们预计美国仍将是世界上最大的原油生产国。” 该预测显示，美国将在2020年底成为原油净出口国。 EIA称，美国今年对柴油和其他馏分油燃料的日需求量预计将增加2万桶，至415万桶，2020年将增至419万桶。 今年美国汽油日需求量预计将为929万桶，低于此前预测的931万桶。EIA称，今年美国轻油日需求量将升至935万桶，并在2020年保持这一水平。 李峻 编译自 路透社 原文如下： U.S. oil output to rise to 12.9 million bpd in 2020 Crude oil output from the United States is expected to rise to a new record of more than 12 million barrels per day (bpd) this year and to climb to nearly 13 million bpd next year, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its first 2020 forecast. U.S. crude production is forecast to climb 1.14 million bpd to 12.07 million bpd in 2019 and an additional 790,000 bpd in 2020 to 12.86 million bpd, the statistics arm of the U.S. Energy Department said in a monthly report. The United States has become the world’s largest crude producer, boosted by output from shale formations, with production of nearly 11 million barrels in 2018, which broke the country’s annual record set in 1970. “Steady growth from non-OPEC countries, including the United States, headlines the forecast for global crude oil production through 2020,” Linda Capuano, EIA administrator said in comments issued following the forecast. “We expect the United States to remain the world’s largest producer.” The forecast indicates that the U.S. will become a net crude exporter in late 2020. U.S. demand for diesel and other distillate fuels is expected to rise 20,000 bpd to 4.15 million bpd in 2019 and to rise to 4.19 million in 2020, the agency said. U.S. gasoline demand in 2018 was seen at 9.29 million bpd, down from 9.31 million bpd previously. Gasoline demand is expected to rise to 9.35 million bpd in 2019 and to hold that level in 2020, the EIA said.
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