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受全球经济担忧影响 原油价格跌至18个月低点

中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社12月25日消息,由于对全球经济和华盛顿动荡的担忧盖过了欧佩克可能进一步减产的信号,原油价格跌至一年半以来的最低水平。 圣诞前夜,纽约期货下跌6.7%,因投资者评估政府关门的威胁,美国股市重挫。自去年10月触及四年高点以来,最近一次下跌导致原油价格下跌44%,其中包括自欧佩克和俄罗斯本月早些时候宣布大幅减产以来,油价下跌19%。 总部位于纽约的对冲基金Again Capital LLC合伙人John Kilduff表示:“随着股市走低,金融市场普遍感到不安,这只会压低价格。需求前景继续受到质疑。” 欧佩克及其盟国同意在12月7日削减产量,但迄今为止在提振油价方面收效甚微。阿联酋能源部长暗示,明年可能会讨论进一步的限制措施。投资者怀疑减产是否足以削弱供应,因美国原油产量仍高于1100万桶/天。 周一标准普尔500指数下跌2.7%,能源指数下跌4%。跌幅最大的是赫斯公司,该公司股价下跌12%,创下近三年来的最大跌幅。 Petromatrix GmbH董事总经理Olivier Jakob表示:“周末的主要投入是欧佩克成员国的持续干预。就目前而言,市场忽略了这些言论,因为我们处于这个看跌周期。” 纽约商品交易所结算的西德克萨斯中质原油2月交割价下跌3.06美元,至42.53美元/桶。周一成交量较周二圣诞节前的百日均值低约30%。西德克萨斯中质原油在10月初达到接近77美元/桶的峰值。 伦敦伦敦洲际交易所2月份交割的布伦特原油期货价格下跌3.35美元,至50.47美元/桶。全球基准原油价格较西德克萨斯中质原油溢价7.94美元。 阿联酋能源部长Suhail Al Mazrouei表示,如果目前的减产力度不够,欧佩克可以选择召开特别会议,就进一步减产做出决定。在科威特举行的新闻发布会上,来自伊拉克、阿联酋和阿尔及利亚的部长们轮流重申,欧佩克将实施产量限制,并继续与盟国合作。 至于OPEC的减产,Kilduff称:“他们必须以一种重要的方式履行他们的承诺,才能阻止油价下跌。” 陈菲 摘译自 彭博社 原文如下: Crude Spirals to 18-Month Low Amid Global Economic Concerns Crude fell to the lowest level in a year and a half as concerns over the global economy and turbulence in Washington overshadowed signals from OPEC that it may deepen output cuts. Futures slid 6.7 percent in a shortened Christmas Eve session in New York, joining a rout in U.S. stocks as investors assess the threat from a government shutdown. The latest tumble left crude prices down 44 percent since reaching a four-year peak in October — including a 19 percent falloff since OPEC and Russia announced major output cuts earlier this month. “As stocks get taken down and there is nervousness across financial markets, it’s just undercutting prices here,” said John Kilduff, a partner at New York-based hedge fund Again Capital LLC. “The demand outlook continues to be called into question.” OPEC and its allies agreed to cut production on Dec. 7, but they’ve had little success so far in propping up prices. The United Arab Emirates’ energy minister signaled additional curbs could be discussed next year. Investors are skeptical the reductions will be sufficient to dent supplies, with U.S. crude output still above 11 million barrels a day. The S&P 500 Index sank 2.7 percent Monday, with its energy index shedding 4 percent. The declines were led by Hess Corp., which lost 12 percent, the most in almost three years. “The main input over the weekend has been the continued intervention by OPEC members,” said Olivier Jakob, managing director at Petromatrix GmbH. “For now, those statements are ignored by the market because we are in this bearish cycle.” West Texas Intermediate for February delivery fell $3.06 to $42.53 a barrel at settlement on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Total volume traded Monday was about 30 percent below the 100-day average ahead of the Christmas holiday Tuesday. WTI peaked near $77 a barrel in early October. Brent for February settlement dipped $3.35 to $50.47 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark crude traded at an $7.94 premium to WTI. Suhail Al Mazrouei, the U.A.E.’s energy minister, said that OPEC has the option to hold an extraordinary meeting to decide on more output cuts if the current one isn’t enough. At a press briefing in Kuwait, ministers from Iraq, the U.A.E. and Algeria took turns repeating the message that OPEC will deliver its production curbs and continue to work with its allies. As for OPEC’s cuts, “they have to follow through on their rhetoric in a significant way” in order for the price decline to stop, Kilduff said.  

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