石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社12月19日消息，沙特阿拉伯政府预计明年将从石油中获得更高利润，这种乐观情绪与多数原油价格预测相悖，并与该国以往保守的金融假设形成鲜明对比。 据彭博社中东首席经济学家齐亚德•达德称，全球最大的原油出口国预计，如果石油产量继续保持在每天1020万桶摒弃沙特阿美公司不会增加对政府的拨款，那么到2019年石油平均价格将达到每桶80美元左右。他估计，今年石油价格需要突破每桶95美元才能平衡预算。 根据彭博社汇编的数据，分析师预测2019年的石油价格将徘徊在每桶73美元左右。沙特阿拉伯预计明年的石油收入将升至五年来的高位，但仍将出现连续第6次预算赤字。 曹海斌 摘译自 彭博社 原文如下： Saudi Arabia Makes Rare Bullish Call on Oil in Its 2019 Budget Saudi Arabia’s government expects to earn more from oil next year, an optimism that defies most price forecasts for crude and contrasts with the kingdom’s history of making conservative financial assumptions. The world’s biggest crude exporter is estimating that oil will average about $80 a barrel in 2019 assuming its production continues at 10.2 million barrels a day and Saudi Aramco won’t increase its allocations to the government, according to Ziad Daoud, Bloomberg’s chief economist in the Middle East. He estimates oil will need to trade above $95 a barrel for the year for the kingdom to balance its budget. Analysts forecast oil in 2019 will hover around $73 a barrel, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Saudi Arabia sees its oil revenue rising to a five-year high next year, but will still post its sixth-straight budget deficit.
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