石油圈周三油价因美国产量攀升及经济增长疲软下跌 中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社新加坡报道，由于美国（现在是世界上最大的页岩生产国）库存报告和美国创纪录页岩产量的预测，引发了人们对供大于求的担忧，导致周二布伦特原油价格下跌超过1美元，连续第三交易日下跌。 交易员表示，由于全球经济增长疲软，人们对未来石油需求表示担忧，与此同时，人们对欧佩克牵头的减产计划是否有效也表示怀疑，这些都对油价产生了压力。 格林尼治标准时间0615时，国际基准布伦特原油期货价格为每桶58.62美元，比上一次收盘时下跌99美分，跌幅1.66%。 布伦特在过去三个交易日中下跌了4% 以上, 周二跌至每桶 $58.1美元, 较前一天的收盘价下跌逾1.5美元。 美国西德克萨斯中间原油期货价格下跌91美分，跌幅1.82%，报每桶48.97美元。 由于全球库存膨胀, 美国原油和布伦特原油自10月初以来都下跌了30% 以上, WTI目前的交易水平没有达到2017年10月以来的水平。 新加坡经纪公司菲利普斯期货的分析师Benjamin Lu Jiaxuan表示：“美国页岩产量水平的上升，加上全球经济增长的减速，已经威胁到了欧佩克+的努力，因为市场正在权衡基本面松动的可能性。” 他表示：“随着投资者对2018年后燃料需求减弱的预期，市场信心在经济不确定性日益显现的情况下依然极为脆弱。 美国能源信息管理局周一表示，预计到今年年底，美国七大页岩盆地的石油产量将首次攀升至每天800万桶以上。 与此同时，交易员援引市场情报公司Genscape周一提供的数据称，从12月11日至 14日, WTI期货合约交割点——美国俄克拉荷马库什存储中心的库存增加了100多万桶。 分析师表示，随着油价下跌，无利可图的页岩生产商最终将停止运营并减少供应，但是这将需要一段时间。 美国已超过俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯，成为世界上最大的石油生产国，原油总产量攀升至创纪录的1170万桶/日。 不过，分析师表示，由于美国的产量在继续增长，而伊朗在不断增加石油产量，欧佩克及俄罗斯牵头的盟国同意供应限制可能不会带来预期的结果。 一些人还对俄罗斯承诺削减与欧佩克达成的协议表示怀疑。到目前为止，俄罗斯的石油产量在12月达到创纪录的1142万桶/日。 詹晓晶摘自路透社 原文如下： Oil prices fall for third straight session amid supply glut worries Brent crude prices dropped more than $1 on Tuesday, falling for a third straight session, as reports of inventory builds and forecasts of record shale output in the United States, now the world’s biggest producer, stoked worries about oversupply. Concerns over future oil demand amid weakening global economic growth and doubts over the effectiveness of planned production cuts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) also pressured prices, traders said. International benchmark Brent crude oil futures were at $58.62 per barrel at 0615 GMT, down 99 cents, or 1.66 percent, from their last close. Brent, which has slipped more than 4 percent in the past three sessions, fell to as low as $58.10 a barrel on Tuesday, down more than $1.50 from the previous day’s close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 91 cents or 1.82 percent at $48.97 per barrel. Both U.S. crude and Brent have shed more than 30 percent since early October due to swelling global inventories, with WTI now trading at levels not seen since October 2017. “Rising U.S. shale production levels along with a deceleration in global economic growth has threatened to offset OPEC+ efforts as markets weigh the potential of looser fundamentals,” said Benjamin Lu Jiaxuan, an analyst at Singapore-based brokerage firm Phillip Futures. “Market confidence remains extremely delicate amidst looming economic uncertainties as investors contemplate on weaker fuel demand beyond 2018,” he said. Oil production from seven major U.S. shale basins is expected to climb to more than 8 million barrels per day (bpd) by the end of the year for the first time, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Monday. Meanwhile, inventories at the U.S. storage hub of Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point for the WTI futures contract, rose by more than 1 million barrels from Dec. 11 to 14, traders said, citing data from market intelligence firm Genscape on Monday. With oil prices falling, unprofitable shale producers will eventually stop operating and cut supply, although that will take some time, analysts said. The United States has surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia as the world’s biggest oil producer, with overall crude production climbing to a record of 11.7 million bpd. Supply curbs agreed by OPEC and its Russia-led allies might not bring about the desired results, though, as U.S. output goes on increasing and Iran keeps pumping out more oil, analysts said. Some have also expressed doubts over Russia’s commitment to the cuts agreed with OPEC. Oil output from Russia has been at a record high of 11.42 million bpd so far in December.
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