中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯 亚洲原油期货周三上午交易时段走高,因美国原油库存减少,而围绕欧佩克及其盟国的继续减产,从而市场维持价格支撑。 新加坡时间上午10点53分(格林威治时间02:53),2月份ICE布伦特原油期货价格较周二结算价每桶60.97美元上涨63美分(1.05%),而纽约商品交易所1月份轻质低硫原油合约价格上涨52美分/桶(1.0%),达到52.34美元/桶。 根据周二美国石油研究所公布的分析报告,截至12月7日的一周美国原油库存下降了1018万桶。 普氏能源调查分析预计,美国原油库存同期已下跌260万桶。 市场参与者将在周三晚些时候寻求美国能源信息管理局的报告,以确认美国原油库存的情况。 与此同时,俄罗斯能源部长亚历山大·诺瓦克周二表示,根据欧佩克牵头的减产协议,俄罗斯预计将在4个月内实现将石油日产量削减22.8万桶(2%)的目标。 德国商业银行分析师在一份报告中表示:“我们认为,如果严格执行削减措施,明年将重新平衡石油市场。” 他们补充说:“唯一的例外是第一季度的低需求,尤其是俄罗斯将只能像两年前那样逐步实施减产。” 俄罗斯总理通讯社引用诺瓦克的话说:“我们会尽力的,每家公司情况都不同,当然,四个月之内是切实可行的。” 俄罗斯承诺逐步减少产量,因为该国冬季严寒的气温使得迅速减少产量变得不切实际。这个小组将于4月份开会,审查协议的进展情况。 澳新银行分析师周三在一份报告中称,原油价格上涨是乐观的,欧佩克减产措施将稳定市场。 另外美能署(EIA)周二发布了短期能源展望,其中降低了对2019年WTI和布伦特原油现货价格的预测,这主要是由于创纪录的全球产量,尤其是美国,以及低于预期的需求。 EIA预计,WTI在2019年的平均价格为54.19美元/桶,比该机构上个月的预测低10.66美元/桶,布伦特在2019年的平均价格为61美元/桶,比上个月的预测低10.92美元/桶。 截至格林尼治时间02:53,美元指数下跌0.1%,至97.34。 王磊 摘译自 普氏能源 原文如下: Crude oil futures were higher during mid-morning trade in Asia Wednesday amid a draw reported in US crude inventories, while development around production cuts by OPEC and its allies kept prices supported. At 10:53 am Singapore time (0253 GMT), February ICE Brent crude futures were up 63 cents/b (1.05%) from Tuesday’s settle at $60.97/b, while the NYMEX January light sweet crude contract was 52 cents/b (1.0%) higher at $52.34/b. According to analyst reports quoting the American Petroleum Institute data out on Tuesday, US crude inventories for the week ended December 7 were down 10.18 million barrels. Analysts surveyed Monday by S&P Global Platts were looking for US crude stocks to have declined by 2.6 million barrels for the same period. Market participants would be looking out for the report from the US Energy Information Administration later Wednesday to confirm the draws reported in US crude inventories. Meanwhile, Russia Energy Minister Alexander Novak on Tuesday said that Russia expects to hit its target of trimming oil production by 228,000 b/d, or 2%, under the OPEC-led production cut agreement within four months. “We believe that the cuts, if strictly implemented, will rebalance the oil market next year, ” Commerzbank analysts said in a note. “The only exception is the low-demand first quarter, especially as Russia will only be able to implement its production cuts gradually, as was the case two years ago,” they added. “We will try. Each company is in a different situation. Within four months is, of course, realistic,” Novak was quoted as saying by Russia’s Prime news agency. Russia committed to reducing output step by step, as freezing winter temperatures in the country make a rapid reduction impractical. The group is to meet in April to review the progress of the deal. “Crude oil prices rose amid optimism that OPEC production curbs will stabilize the market,” ANZ analysts said in a note Wednesday. Elsewhere, EIA on Tuesday released its Short-Term Energy Outlook, in which it reduced its forecast for WTI and Brent crude spot prices in 2019, largely due to record global output, particularly in the US, and lower-than-expected demand. EIA forecasts WTI to average $54.19/b in 2019, down $10.66/b from the agency’s forecast last month, and Brent to average $61/b in 2019, down $10.92/b from last month’s forecast. As of 0253 GMT, the US Dollar Index was down 0.1% at 97.34.
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