石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社11月14日伦敦消息称，国际能源署周三表示，由于石油产量的持续增长将抵消因经济放缓而面临风险的消费增长，全球石油供应将在2019年全年超过需求。 总部位于巴黎的国际能源机构在月度报告中将2018年和2019年全球需求增长预测与上月持平，分别为每天130万桶和每天140万桶，但下调了对非经合组织国家需求增长的预测。 IEA表示：“在2009年上半年，根据我们对非欧佩克产量和全球需求的展望，以及假设欧佩克产量持平……目前的隐含库存量为200万桶/日，”。 国际能源署表示，自10月初以来， LCOc1油价已下跌四分之一，跌至每桶70美元以下，这是8个月以来的最低水平，这可能在一定程度上保护了需求。 它补充道：“虽然一些国家的经济增长的放缓减少了石油需求的前景，但我们对价格假设的大幅下调是有利的，”。 曹海斌 摘译自 路透社 原文如下： Global oil market faces surplus throughout 2019 as demand slows Global oil supply will outpace demand throughout 2019, as a relentless rise in output swamps growth in consumption that is at risk from a slowing economy, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday. In its monthly report the Paris-based IEA left its forecast for global demand growth for 2018 and 2019 unchanged from last month at 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd) and 1.4 million bpd, respectively, but cut its forecast for non-OECD demand growth. “In 1H19, based on our outlook for non-OPEC production and global demand, and assuming flat OPEC production … the implied stock build is currently 2 million bpd,” the IEA said. Since early October, the oil price LCOc1 has fallen by a quarter to below $70 a barrel, its lowest in eight months, which may protect demand to an extent, the IEA said. “While slower economic growth in some countries reduces the outlook for oil demand, a significant downward revision to our price assumption is supportive,” it added.
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