石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯新加坡10月24日消息称，全球最大的液化天然气生产国卡塔尔能源和工业部长穆罕默德•本•萨利赫•萨达(Mohammad Bin Saleh Al-Sada)周一在名古屋举行的液化天然气生产商和消费者大会上表示，该国有望将其液化天然气产能扩大约43%，至每年1.1亿吨。 这是卡塔尔液化天然气扩张计划的最新更新，也是迄今为止产量预测最高的一次，而目前的产能为7700万吨/年。该公司最初表示计划到2020年达到1亿吨/年，此前该公司在2017年取消了为期12年的近海北部油田开发禁令。 尽管面临来自澳大利亚的竞争，卡塔尔的快速扩张将使其保持全球最大液化天然气出口国的地位，澳大利亚预计，如果卡塔尔的10个项目全部满负荷运转，其液化天然气出口能力将达到8800万吨/年。 Al-Sada表示，由于新兴市场需求的增长将从本世纪20年代中期开始，甚至更早，卡塔尔计划将其液化天然气产量增加至1.1亿吨/年，这将有助于满足全球液化天然气供应短缺的预期。他补充道：“这项生产计划于2024年开始。”国际能源署在其2018年气体报告中表示，到2020年底全球液化天然气出口能力将大幅提高，但由于亚洲市场液化天然气需求增长速度过快，这种供应过剩可能不会持续很久。“如果没有新的投资，液化天然气贸易的持续增长，到2023年可能导致市场紧张。 这家总部位于巴黎的能源智库表示：“由于此类项目的筹备时间很长，需要在未来几年做出投资决定，以确保到2020年供应充足。”Al-Sada表示，亚洲经济体将是液化天然气需求增长的主要推动者，日本、韩国和台湾等传统的液化天然气消费市场将得到中国和印度新的液化天然气需求的补充。 Al-Sada表示：“2017年，中国和印度的液化天然气进口量每年合计增加1400万吨，分别达到每年3800万吨和2200万吨。” Al-Sada表示，印度和中国的液化天然气需求增长受到环境考虑和国内市场改革的支撑，到2040年，液化天然气产量预计将超过管道输送的天然气，这将首次占据天然气贸易的大部分。 他说，就市场基本面而言，液化天然气行业面临的挑战是在买家对有竞争力的价格和供应灵活性的需求与生产商稳定的现金流之间找到平衡点。 曹海斌 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Qatar to boost LNG production capacity to 110 million mt/year by 2024-minister Qatar, the world’s largest LNG producer, is on track to expand its LNG production capacity by around 43% to 110 million mt/year, Mohammad Bin Saleh Al-Sada, Minister of Energy and Industry, said at the LNG Producer-Consumer Conference in Nagoya on Monday. This is the latest update to Qatar’s LNG expansion plans and its largest production forecast till date compared to its current production capacity of 77 million tons/year. It had initially stated plans to reach 100 million mt/year by 2020, following the lifting of a 12-year moratorium on the development of its offshore North Field in 2017. The rapid pace of Qatar’s expansion will allow it to maintain its position as the world’s top LNG exporter despite competition from Australia that expects to have 88 million mt/year of nameplate LNG export capacity if all its 10 projects reach full capacity. Qatar’s plans to increase its LNG production to 110 million mt/year will help meet the forecasted shortage in global LNG supply starting from, or even earlier than, the mid-2020s due to emerging market demand growth, Al-Sada said. “This production is planned to commence by 2024,” he added. The International Energy Agency said in its Gas 2018 report that global LNG export capacity is ramping up by the end of 2020, but this oversupply could be short-lived due to the pace of LNG demand growth in Asian markets. “Without new investment, the continuous growth of the LNG trade could result in a tight market by 2023. Owing to the long lead time of such projects, investment decisions need to be taken in the next few years to ensure adequate supply through the 2020s,” according to the Paris-based energy think tank. Al-Sada said Asian economies will be the main contributor to LNG demand growth, and traditional LNG consuming markets like Japan, Korea and Taiwan will be supplemented by new LNG demand from China and India. “In 2017, China and India have increased their LNG imports by a combined 14 million tons per annum to reach 38 and 22 million tons/year respectively,” Al-Sada said. Demand growth for LNG in India and China is underpinned by environmental considerations and internal market reforms, and by 2040, LNG volumes are expected to exceed natural gas delivered by pipeline to make up the bulk of gas trades for the first time, Al-Sada said. He said, with regard to market fundamentals, the challenge for the LNG industry is to find a balance between buyers’ need for competitive prices and supply flexibility, and a healthy cash flow for producers.
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