石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯5月23日消息，凯投宏观公司大宗商品经济学家托马斯•普表示，随着布伦特原油价格徘徊在每桶约80美元左右的三年半多来的高点，明年全球对石油的需求可能会放缓。普在一份报告中写道：“如果油价保持在当前水平或进一步上涨，2019年石油消费增长可能大幅放缓。”他估计，油价上涨20%（自今年年初以来的增长幅度）可能会使工业化经济体的石油需求减少多达100万桶/日。相反，他指出，如果消费增长放缓，这是另一个认为价格不会在很长时间里保持如此高水平的原因。 庞晓华 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下： Brent at $80 Could Weigh on Global Demand As Brent crude hovers near more than 3 1/2 year highs, at around $80 a barrel, there is a risk that the world’s appetite for oil could slow next year, according to Thomas Pugh, commodities economist at Capital Economics. “If oil prices remain around their current levels or rise further, consumption growth could slow sharply in 2019,” Pugh wrote in a note. He estimates that a 20% increase in oil prices–the rate of growth since the start of this year–could lower demand in industrialized economies by as much as 1M barrels a day. Conversely, he noted, if consumption growth slows, “this is another reason to think that prices will not stay this high for very long.”
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