石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据阿联酋《Khaleej时报》4月13日消息，国际能源署表示，如果石油供应保持克制，石油市场可能会变得过于紧张。 国际能源署(International Energy Agency)上周五表示，欧佩克及其盟友似乎已经完成了将全球石油库存提升至预期水平的使命，这表明如果供应仍受到限制，市场可能变得过于紧张。 负责协调工业化国家能源政策的国际能源署表示，发达国家的全球股市最早可能会跌至5年平均水平——这是欧佩克用来衡量减产成功的一个指标。 国际能源署在其月度报告中表示:“我们不应代表《维也纳协定》(Vienna agreement)声明，它是‘使命完成’的国家，但如果我们的前景是准确的，它看起来肯定非常像它。” 总部位于维也纳的欧佩克(Opec)自2017年1月以来，已与俄罗斯和其他盟友一起减产，以支撑全球油价。本月油价飙升至每桶70美元以上，这为美国页岩油产量的增长带来了新的提振。 但由于石油输出国组织(Opec，简称:欧佩克)成员国委内瑞拉的石油产量大幅下降，利比亚和安哥拉等国的石油产量仍出现问题，石油输出国组织(Opec，简称:欧佩克)的产量低于其目标，这意味着世界需要利用库存来满足日益增长的需求。 周四，石油输出国组织(opec，简称:欧佩克)在其月度报告中表示，发达国家的石油库存仅比最新的五年平均水平高出4300万桶。截至今年2月底，总部位于巴黎的国际能源署的石油产量仅为3000万桶。 国际能源署表示，尽管非欧佩克产油国今年的日产量将增加180万桶，但仍不足以满足全球需求，预计日产量将增加150万桶，或约1.5%。 随着委内瑞拉和非洲产量的下降，欧佩克3月份的日产量为383万桶，低于今年剩余时间的3250万桶。 这个限制产量的协议一直持续到今年年底，欧佩克将在6月举行会议，决定下一步的行动。沙特阿拉伯曾表示，希望将协议延长至2019年。 欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德•巴金多周四对路透表示，尽管全球原油供应过剩将在9月前消失，但欧佩克及其盟友准备将该协议延长至2019年。 Petromatrix咨询公司的奥利维尔•雅各布表示:“欧佩克正在迅速实现其首次宣布的目标，如果它希望在今年下半年达成协议，就必须为6月份的会议制定一个新的衡量标准。” 胡晶晶摘译自阿联酋《Khaleej时报》 原文如下 IEA signals oil market could become too tight if supply remains restrained Opec and its allies appear to have accomplished their mission of bringing global oil stocks to desired levels, the International Energy Agency said on Friday, signalling that the markets could become too tight if supply remains restrained. The IEA, which coordinates the energy policies of industrialised nations, said global stocks in developed countries could fall to their five-year average – a metric used by Opec to measure the success of output cuts – as early as May. “It is not for us to declare on behalf of the Vienna agreement countries that it is ‘mission accomplished’, but if our outlook is accurate, it certainly looks very much like it,” the IEA said in its monthly report. Vienna-based Opec has reduced production in tandem with Russia and other allies since January 2017 to prop up global oil prices, which soared above $70 per barrel this month, giving a new boost to booming US shale oil output. But as oil production collapsed in Opec member Venezuela and still faces hiccups in countries such as Libya and Angola, the oil exporter group is producing below its targets, meaning the world needs to use stocks to meet rising demand. On Thursday, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in its monthly report that oil stocks in the developed world were only 43 million barrels above the latest five-year average. The Paris-based IEA put the figure at just 30 million barrels as of the end of February. The IEA said that even though non-Opec output was set to soar by 1.8 million barrels per day this year on higher US production, it was not enough to meet global demand, expected to rise by 1.5 million bpd or around 1.5 per cent. With production declines in Venezuela and Africa, Opec was producing 31.83 million bpd in March, below the call on its crude for the rest of the year at 32.5 million bpd. The output-limiting pact runs until the end of the year and Opec meets in June to decide its next course of action. Saudi Arabia, has said it would like the pact to be extended into 2019. Opec Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo told Reuters on Thursday Opec and its allies were poised to extend the pact into 2019 even as a global glut of crude was set to evaporate by September. “Opec is within rapid reach of its first announced goals and will have to come up with a new metric for the June meeting if it wants the agreement to last into the second half of the year,” said Olivier Jakob from Petromatrix consultancy.
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