石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据《世界油气新闻》2月23日华盛顿报道，美国能源信息署（EIA）日前发布的2018年年度能源展望报告预计，美国的致密油产量在本世纪40年代初以前通常将会增加，届时美国致密油日产量将超过820万桶，占到美国原油总产量的近70%。 2017年，致密油产量占到美国原油总产量的54%。 致密油资源的开发对未来原油价格、钻井技术和资源可用性的不同假设要比非致密油开发更为敏感，但致密油依然是美国原油产量的主要来源。 最近美国原油产量的增长受到了致密油资源开发，主要是二叠纪盆地致密油开发的推动。去年，美国的3个主要致密油远景区——Spraberry远景区、Bone Spring远景区和Wolfcamp远景区——的致密油产量占到了美国致密油总产量的36%并将占到2050年前累积致密油总产量的43%。巴肯和鹰福特地层2050年前依然是美国致密油供应的主要贡献者，将分别占到20%和17%。 李峻 编译自 世界油气新闻 原文如下： EIA: Tight oil remains the leading source of future U.S. crude oil production EIA’s recently released Annual Energy Outlook 2018 projects that U.S. tight oil production will generally increase through the early 2040s, when it will surpass 8.2 MMbpd and account for nearly 70% of total U.S. production. Tight oil production made up 54% of the U.S total in 2017. Development of tight oil resources is more sensitive than non-tight oil to different assumptions of future crude oil prices, drilling technology, and resource availability, but tight oil remains the largest source of U.S. crude oil production. Recent growth in U.S. crude oil production has been driven by the development of tight oil resources, primarily in the Permian Basin. Three major tight oil plays in the Permian Basin—the Spraberry, Bone Spring, and Wolfcamp—accounted for 36% of U.S. tight oil production in 2017. Production from these three plays is projected to increase and to account for 43% of cumulative tight oil production through 2050. The Bakken and Eagle Ford formations remain major contributors to U.S. tight oil supply through 2050, accounting for 20% and 17% of cumulative tight oil production respectively.
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