石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据《世界石油》1月11日休斯敦报道，美国能源信息署（EIA）估计去年全球隐含库存变化（全球总消费量和世界总产量之间的差异）平均每天为40万桶，从而使得全球库存自2013年以来第一年减少。EIA预计全球库存在2018年和2019年将每天分别增加大约20万桶和30万桶。 2017年来自欧佩克原油产量平均每天为3250万桶，比2016年日减20万桶，原油产量减少的主要原因是欧佩克在2016年11月达成了一项把欧佩克原油日产量限制在3250万桶的产量协议。欧佩克和非欧佩克产油国在2017年11月30日同意把减产协议延长到今年年底来努力减少全球石油库存。由于欧佩克原油产量慢慢恢复到协议前水平，EIA预计欧佩克的原油产量在2018年和2019年将分别日增20万桶和30万桶。 EIA说，来自美国的原油产量增加预计将比任何其他国家都要多。美国的原油日产量预计在2018年将达到1030万桶，这将是美国历史上最高的年度平均原油产量，超过1970年创下的960万桶/天的前一个最高纪录。美国原油产量在2019年预计将继续增加，平均日产量预计将增加到1080万桶。 李峻 编译自 世界石油 原文如下： EIA forecasts increasing global production through 2019 EIA estimates that the implied global stock change (the difference between total world consumption and total world production) averaged 0.4 MMbpd in 2017, marking the first year of global inventory draws since 2013. EIA expects global inventories to increase by about 0.2 MMbpd in 2018 and by about 0.3 MMbpd in 2019.
Crude oil production from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) averaged 32.5 MMbpd in 2017, a decrease of 0.2 MMbpd from 2016. The decline was mainly a result of the November 2016 OPEC production agreement that aimed to limit OPEC crude oil output to 32.5 MMbpd. OPEC and non-OPEC participants agreed on November 30, 2017, to extend the production cuts through the end of 2018 in an effort to reduce global oil inventories. EIA expects OPEC crude oil production to increase by 0.2 MMbpd in 2018 and by an additional 0.3 MMbpd in 2019 as it slowly returns to pre-agreement levels. Crude oil production from the United States is expected to increase more than in any other country. U.S. crude oil production is forecast to average 10.3 MMbpd in 2018, marking the highest annual average production in U.S. history, surpassing the previous record of 9.6 MMbpd set in 1970. U.S. crude oil production is expected to continue increasing in 2019 to an average of 10.8 MMbpd.
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