石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据TABNinfo.com网站12月9日迪拜报道，美银美林（BofAML）日前在其2018年能源展望报告中说，尽管石油输出国组织（欧佩克）很有可能在2018年将保持其在2017年实施的减产，明年将很有可能看到全球石油需求每天再扩大150万桶，而美国明年的石油供应将日增87万桶。 美银美林在报告中补充说，根据这些假设，布伦特原油的平均价格在2018年应该每桶56美元并在美国驾车季节顶峰时达到每桶70美元的高点。 报告说，全球石油市场在2017年经历了一个明显的转折点。在需求每天150万桶强劲增长以及欧佩克/非欧佩克每天180万桶供应削减协议的支撑下，全球石油市场在进一步紧缩。作为一个结果，全球石油市场在2017年可能会出现每天23万桶的赤字。 李峻 编译自 TABNinfo.com 原文如下： Robust global demand/tight supply for oil in 2018 Next year likely will see global oil demand expand again by 1.5 million barrels per day and US supply rise by 870,000 barrels per day – although Opec likely will at best maintain the cuts implemented in 2017, resulting in a balanced market, a report said.
On these assumptions, Brent crude should average $56 per barrel in 2018 and hit a high point of $70 per barrel at the peak of the US driving season, added the Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) 2018 Energy Outlook.
The global oil market experienced a clear turning point in 2017, with balances tightening on the back of robust 1.5 million barrels per day (b/d) growth in demand and an Opec/non-Opec supply cut deal of 1.8 million b/d. As a result, the global oil market may register a 230,000 b/d deficit in 2017.
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