石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社10月24日新加坡报道，国际能源署（IEA）周二说，由于东南亚新兴国家依赖化石燃料来运送他们快速增长的人口、运送货物以及制造塑料，东南亚地区对石油的需求至少在2040年前将继续保持增长。 IEA在一份报告中说，东南亚地区的石油使用量在2040年前将从现在的每天470万桶扩大到大约660万桶，而道路车辆的数量将增加三分之二，达到大约6200万辆。IEA没有对2040年以后作任何预测。 全球推动用电动引擎取汽车的内燃机引擎来对抗气候变化已引发了石油行业的担忧，对这种大宗商品的需求可能在未来10年至20年内达到峰值。 但IEA能源市场和安全主管Keisuke Sadamori周二在新加坡国际能源周会议上表示，石油将继续满足东南亚尤其是卡车和船舶大约90%与运输有关的需求。“除非有任何能够使该地区脱碳的重大技术变化，我们认为东南亚地区的石油需求将不会下降，”Sadamori如是说。 李峻 编译自 路透社 原文如下： IEA sees Southeast Asia oil demand growing until at least 2040 Southeast Asian demand for oil will keep growing until at least 2040 as emerging nations there rely on the fossil fuel to transport their rapidly growing populations, ship goods and make plastics, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday. Oil usage in the region will expand to around 6.6 MMbpd by 2040 from 4.7 MMbpd now, with the number of road vehicles increasing by two-thirds to around 62 MM, the agency said in a report. It did not make any forecasts beyond 2040. A global push to replace combustion engines in vehicles with electric-powered ones to fight climate change has raised concerns in the oil industry that demand for the commodity could peak in the next 10 yr–20 yr. But oil will continue to meet around 90% of transport-related demand in Southeast Asia, especially for trucks and ships, Keisuke Sadamori, the IEA’s director of energy markets and security, said at the Singapore International Energy Week. “Unless there are any drastic technological changes that can decarbonize these areas, we do not expect oil demand to fall,” he said.
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