石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据烃加工在线8月18日消息，ESAI能源公司在最近发布的未来五年成品油市场展望报告中表示，国际海事组织（IMO）计划2020年在全球范围内实施的船用燃料油含硫量不能大于0.5%的规定将抑制船用燃料油需求。 ESAI能源公司表示：“如果按当前的计划执行，该规定的实施将令燃料油需求减少120万桶/天，并新增相同数量的船用柴油需求。尽管IMO新规的实施理论上将令燃料油需求大幅减少，但是事实上，2020年后全球仍将继续消费大量的高硫船用燃料油，因为可能会有一些船舶不遵守相关的规定，有一些船舶会得到豁免权，同时一些船舶将安装废气洗涤装置。” 同时ESAI表示，IMO船用燃料新规将为柴油市场提供主要的支撑，尤其是亚洲和欧洲，因为未来五年这些地区的陆地柴油需求增长将放缓。 尤胜皓摘译自 烃加工在线 原文如下： ESAI Energy: IMO sulfur content cap will destroy fuel oil demand In its recent 5-yr outlook on petroleum products, ESAI Energy examines the implementation of the International Marine Organization’s (IMO) 0.5% sulfur content cap on bunker fuels, which is slated to take effect globally in 2020. “If implemented as currently planned, the regulations will destroy 1.2 MMbpd of fuel oil demand and create a similar amount of marine gasoil demand,” said ESAI Energy in a press release. “Despite a steep reduction in fuel oil demand, non-compliance, waivers, and to a lesser extent the adoption of exhaust scrubbers, will drive the continued consumption of large volumes of high sulfur bunker fuel oil in the years after 2020.” Meanwhile, the IMO bunker fuel rules will provide a major boost to diesel markets particularly in Asia and Europe as inland diesel demand growth slows over the next five years, the ESAI said.
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