石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据LNG WORLD NEWS网站7月13日消息，国际能源署在最新的2017年天然气报告中称，随着美国提升对发展中国家的天然气出口，同时在工业超越电力成为天然气需求增长的最大来源的影响下，全球天然气市场正在经历巨变。 国际能源署表示，未来五年，全球天然气需求预计将以每年1.6%的速度增长。到2022年，消费量将达到近4万亿立方米。其中，中国将占这一增量的40％。 该机构称，随着可再生能源和煤炭挤占天然气在发电市场的份额，工业用气成为天然气需求强劲增长的重要动力。 根据国际能源署统计，作为全球头号天然气消费国与生产国，美国受益于国内页岩气产量的飙升，其将在2022年前，贡献约40%的天然气产量增量。到2022年，美国天然气产量料达到8900亿立方米，占全球天然气总产量的20%以上。报告称，虽然目前天然气价格低迷，但在提高生产效率与钻机效率的带动下，全球最大油气田之一的马塞勒斯页岩气田，在2016年至2022年间预计将增产45%。 章盈盈 摘译自 LNG WORLD NEWS网站 原文如下： US LNG changing the international gas market, IEA says The global natural gas market is undergoing a major transformation driven by new supplies coming from the United States to meet growing demand in developing economies and as industry surpasses the power sector as the largest source of gas demand growth, according to the International Energy Agency. Global gas demand is expected to grow by 1.6% a year for the next five years, with consumption reaching almost 4,000 billion cubic meters (bcm) by 2022, up from 3,630 bcm in 2016, the report said. China will account for 40% of this growth. Demand from the industrial sector will become the main engine of gas consumption growth, replacing power generation, where gas is being squeezed by growing renewables and competition from coal, the agency said. The United States – the world’s largest gas consumer and producer – will account for 40% of the world’s extra gas production to 2022 thanks to the “remarkable growth” in its domestic shale industry, according to the IEA. By 2022, US production will be 890 bcm, or more than a fifth of global gas output. Production from the Marcellus, one of the world’s largest fields, will increase by 45% between 2016 and 2022, even at current low price levels, as producers increase efficiency and produce more gas with fewer rigs, the report said.
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