石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯7月12日伦敦报道，欧佩克的分析部门周二对明年这个产油国集团给出了一个悲观的前景，预计全球明年对欧佩克原油的日需求量将比今年减少6万桶，减少到3220万桶。 根据欧佩克的第二消息来源，这一数字比其6月份日产3260万桶的水平低了40万桶，这意味着如果欧佩克保持产量稳定，市场供应过剩将持续到明年。 欧佩克在其首次对明年市场基本面进行预测中表示，欧佩克对非欧佩克石油供应以及对欧佩克天然气液体明年增长的预测“将略微超过增加的全球石油需求量”。 欧佩克的分析师在他们的月度石油市场报告中写道，欧佩克将因此希望“全球经济好于预期的改善可以对未来一年的石油需求增长作出进一步贡献，加速石油市场正在进行的再平衡以及支持明年的市场势头”。 李峻 编译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： OPEC forecasts 2018 call on its crude oil at 32.2 mil b/d, down 60,000 b/d from 2017 OPEC’s analysis arm on Tuesday offered a bearish 2018 outlook for the producer bloc, projecting that global demand for its crude would fall by 60,000 b/d from this year to average 32.2 million b/d.
That is 400,000 b/d below its June output level of 32.6 million b/d, according to OPEC’s secondary sources, meaning that if OPEC holds output steady, the market’s supply glut would continue through next year.
In offering its first forecasts of 2018 market fundamentals, OPEC said its projections of non-OPEC oil supply and OPEC NGLs growth next year “will slightly outpace incremental world oil demand.”
OPEC would therefore hope that “a better-than-expected improvement in the global economy could contribute further to oil demand growth in the coming year, accelerating the ongoing rebalancing in the oil market and supporting market momentum in 2018,” its analysts wrote in their monthly oil market report.
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