石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯7月5日消息，美银美林下调了2017年和2018年的油价预期，因库存仍在增加，市场对欧佩克的影响力和可信度失去信心。分析师表示，欧佩克产油国在达成减产协议前增产的行动已经损害了支撑油价的努力。美银美林在研究报告中写道：“在一些产油国减产的同时，另一些产油国以同样速度增产，那么库存不下降就不会令人感到意外了。”美银美林目前预期西得州中质油（WTI））在2017年平均为47美元/桶，此前预期为52美元/桶。该银行同时预期2018年WTI平均价格为50美元/桶，低于此前的53美元/桶。分析师预期今年布伦特原油期货平均为50美元/桶，明年为52美元/桶，分别低于之前预期的54美元/桶和56美元/桶。 张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下： BofA Merrill Lynch Cuts Oil Price Forecasts Bank of America Merrill Lynch lowers its forecast for oil prices in 2017 and 2018, as inventories have remained elevated and the market has lost faith in OPEC’s influence and credibility. The move by OPEC producers to increase output ahead of the agreement to cut has hurt efforts to support oil prices, analysts say. “With some producers pedalling backwards and some pedalling forwards at the same speed, it is perhaps not a surprise that inventories are not moving,” the investment bank writes. It now expects WTI crude oil to average $47 a barrel in 2017, compared to $52/bbl previously, and $50/bbl in 2018, down from $53/bbl. Analysts expect Brent prices to average $50/bbl this year and $52/bbl next year, down from $54 and $56 respectively.
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