中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯7月5日消息,德意志银行表示,在美国石油生产商停止增加石油钻机数量前,油价可能跌至40美元/桶的低点。该行表示:“在需求保持健康以及欧佩克不太可能进一步削减产量的情况下,我们感觉到大宗商品市场的焦点已经转向油价跌至什么水平才能中止美国石油钻机数量继续增加。因为当前美国石油活动开始放缓,也许40美元-45美元/桶的WTI原油价格将被证实是一个转折点。”德意志银行已经将明年布伦特原油的价格从63美元下调至54美元/桶,2019年的价格从65美元下调至56美元,而长期的价格预测从65美元下调至60美元/桶。 唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下: Oil Prices May Fall to $40 to Break US Rig Expansion The price of crude oil may fall as low as $40 a barrel before US oil producers stop increasing the number of rigs they use, says Deutsche Bank. “With demand healthy and further OPEC quota cuts unlikely, we sense the focus of commodity markets has moved to what price is required to break continuing expansion in US rig,” Deutsche says. “As activity starts to slow, perhaps $40-$45 for West Texas Intermediate will prove a sensible break-point.” Deutsche cuts its forecast for a barrel of Brent crude in 2018 to $54 from $63, in 2019 to $56 from $65 and in the long-term to $60 from $65.
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