石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯5月24日消息，德商业银行分析师发出警告称，尽管欧佩克几乎已经确定将延长减产协议，但是今年底前油价可能重新跌至50美元/桶以下。今年下半年强劲的需求和减产的持续将帮助消除过剩的石油库存。但是分析师们预测，这种情况不会持续。因为美国石油生产商正在逐步增加产量，并从欧佩克手中抢占市场份额，欺骗的诱惑是抵抗不了的。德国商业银行在报告中写道：“因此过剩的原油库存的消化过程或将更加缓慢。结果的令人失望将令市场产生质疑，从而再次施压油价，因此我们预计油价在年底前将跌破50美元/桶。” 庞晓华 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下： Oil May Fall Despite OPEC Output Curb Extension While OPEC will almost certainly extend its production cuts, prices could drop back below $50 before the year’s end, analysts at Commerzbank caution. Stronger demand in the second half of the year and continued cutbacks will help eliminate the inventory overhang. But that won’t last, the analysts predict. As US producers ramp up and take market share from the cartel, the temptation to cheat will prove irresistible: “the reduction of the oversupply is therefore likely to happen more slowly. The resulting disappointment will doubtless put pressure on oil prices again, so we expect the price to fall to below $50 per barrel by year’s end,” Commerzbank writes.
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