必和必拓公司进军油气业,能否顺利?
作者 | Javier Blas
编译 | 甲基橙 王洋
尽管目前油气业仍处于低油价和低景气周期,但行业复苏的迹象已非常明显,尤其是在美国页岩区块,各油气公司的纷纷加大投资,如火如荼地进行着勘探开发,澳大利亚的必和必拓(BHP Billiton)公司也不甘示弱,加快该地区的投资进程,但却遭到其股东的反对。
看好二叠盆地油气投资
近日,诸如Shell、必和必拓、Anadarko石油公司以及先锋自然资源公司纷纷在二叠纪盆地树起各自的公司旗帜,表明其所属开发权。
蓬勃发展的美国西部德克萨斯页岩油气业对于必和必拓公司来说,似乎相对陌生。但必和必拓公司已屹立油气业多年,石油业务遍及澳大利亚、英国、墨西哥湾(美国)、阿尔及利亚和巴基斯坦。鉴于其美国油田资产的巨大价值,必和必拓激进派股东Paul Singer督促该公司剥离石油业务,但很快就遭到了公司上下的反对。
必和必拓的CEO Andrew Mackenzie称,他们必须捍卫其长期发展战略,维护石油这一“核心”业务。在他看来,当前局势正处于紧要关头。一方面,他认为石油是公司两种大宗商品中增长潜力最大的。他在2月份曾向投资者表示,“我们目前的油气业务遍及美国、澳大利亚和加勒比地区,所有这些地区的油气资产价值高达290亿美元,在今年上半年,石油将占公司潜在利润的20%左右。我们仍看好石油的中长期增长,相信未来能够确保将股东的利益最大化”。
必和必拓在石油行业一直占有一席之地。目前,必和必拓已经是美国墨西哥湾第四大产油商,同时也是美国页岩油田的第八大开发商。
Elliott管理公司的创始人Singer占有必和必拓4.1%的股份,将必和必拓在美国的石油资产股权估值为220亿美元。在一些分析师看来,必和必拓通过大型勘探和生产业务获得了丰厚的多元化回报,不放弃油气投资再正常不过了。就连休斯敦的能源投资银行Tudor、Pickering、Holt & Co,在其给予客户的报告中也表达了银行对石油上涨前景看好的情绪。
拓展海上油气开发项目
新墨西哥边界附近、德克萨斯的Loving County的一个荒凉的角落,矗立着代表必和必拓雄心的路边广告牌。其昭示着必和必拓享有该区域640英亩土地的开发权,该资源地块分为两部分——“Amarillo By Morning”和“The 411.3-acre Dipping Dodson”。
Mackenzie正在努力经营,对拓展油气业务信心满满。今年2月,他批准了对必和必拓和BP共同开发的墨西哥湾“Mad Dog Phase 2项目”22亿美元的投资。而在去年12月,必和必拓击败其他石油巨头,赢得与墨西哥本土公司共同开发Trion油田的机会,这也是第一个墨西哥国有石油公司与外国机构合作开发的海上油田。
投资油气业 早有准备
六年前,必和必拓斥资151亿美元收购了美国独立能源公司Petrohawk Energy,其中包括Petrohawk Energy公司债务,此举措大大拓展了必和必拓在油气领域的规模。先锋自然资源公司一直受美国页岩油投资者的追捧,而必和必拓却从中轻松分得一杯羹,在去年,必和必拓提供的油气日产量高达65万桶油当量,大约是该公司的三倍。
在澳大利亚,必和必拓是第二大石油生产商,排名仅次于Woodside石油公司,就连Shell和埃克森美孚等在内的国际石油巨头也屈居其后。
拒绝拆分 看重长期价值
Singer认为,必和必拓的美国石油业务有更大的增长空间,前提是将其剥离并在纽约上市。虽然必和必拓是一家拥有顶级资产的全球资源公司,但作为一项投资资产,必和必拓近年来的表现并不如意。Elliott管理公司称美国石油业务的价值正在被掩盖,而且没有带来有价值多元化的收益。除此以外,Elliott管理公司称其希望看到其他能源资产的出售“正在进行中”。
Singer曾试图改变必和必拓公司的发展战略,实现必和必拓的改革,他只需得到其他股东——BlackRock Inc.、Legal & General Group Plc和Capital Group Inc.的支持。
马萨诸塞州Winchester的战略能源与经济研究所的Michael Lynch称,这样的做法可能没有任何意义,如果石油业务能带来丰厚利润,那么必和必拓何必去剥离它呢?
必和必拓不是第一个股东施压要求剥离石油业务的综合性公司,剥离方式无非是通过拆分石油业务或出售该部分资产给竞争者的方式。
与必和必拓相竞争的Freeport-McMoRan Inc.巨头公司去年以26亿美元的价格出售其大部分油气业务给Anadarko和一个私营公司。虽然该公司也遭遇了股东的施压,其公司负责人表示,股东们一般不喜欢公司大举进军石油行业,尤其是2012年的2笔交易:公司斥资200亿美元买入包含债务在内的Plains Exploration & Production Co.和McMoRan Exploration Co.,但没有理想的收益。
虽然Singer提供了一系列措施,但在必和必拓公司内部,几乎所有的管理层都不同意剥离美国页岩油资产,并拒绝了改变其业务结构和拆分油气业务的建议。他们声称公司可通过良好的经营优化页岩油气资产,获得长期的价值回报。
在去年油价较低的情况下,必和必拓减计美国页岩油资产72亿美元。但今年,必和必拓CEO表示,在未来五年,必和必拓在油气业务方面的投资占其总投资的一半以上,他们会优先考虑石油勘探,今年对油气公司的投资预算为10亿美元。如此的大手笔进军油气行业,布局页岩市场,注重长远收益,抓住油气行业复苏这一大机遇,未来必和必拓登上油气巨头榜单,想必指日可待。
LONDON (Bloomberg) — The usual suspects have planted their flags along the dusty byways of the Permian basin, declaring where they’ve staked claims. There are names like Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Anadarko Petroleum Corp., Pioneer Natural Resources Co. And, on signs fronting a barbed-wire fence, BHP Billiton Ltd.
For the world’s largest mining company, the heart of the U.S. shale boom in West Texas might seem to be strange territory, a very long way from the iron-ore deposits of Australia or the copper mines of Chile’s Atacama desert. But BHP actually has been in the oil business for years, with operations stretching from Texas to the North Sea. Its U.S. assets alone are so valuable that activist investor Paul Singer urged the company to spin them off — a suggestion BHP rejected Monday, setting the stage for a tussle with the billionaire.
For CEO Andrew Mackenzie, a Scottish-born geologist who spent two decades at BP Plc and joined the miner in 2008, there’s a lot at stake. For one thing, oil is one of the two commodities where he sees the most potential. “Our preference is still, medium-to-long-term, to grow in oil and copper,” he told investors in February. And oil accounted for about 20% of BHP’s underlying profit in the six months ending in December.
Melbourne, Australia-based BHP is a big player in petroleum, setting it apart from such mining peers Rio Tinto Plc, Anglo American Plc and Vale SA. Right now, BHP is the fourth-largest producer in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and the eighth-largest in U.S. shale fields. Singer’s Elliott Management Corp., which owns 4.1% of BHP, values the U.S. assets at $22 billion.
In the view of some analysts, that’s all a positive. “BHP is unique” and draws significant diversification benefits from having a large exploration and production arm, Houston-based energy investment bank Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. said in a note to clients, highlighting the bank’s bullish oil outlook.
Mad Dog Phase 2
The roadside signs in a desolate corner of Texas’s Loving County, near the border with New Mexico, are just two marks of BHP’s ambitions. They declare its rights to develop a 640-acre prospect called Amarillo By Morning and the 411.3-acre Dipping Dodson.
Mackenzie also is running bigger endeavors. In February, he approved $2.2 billion in spending on the Mad Dog Phase 2 project in the Gulf of Mexico where BHP and BP are partners. And in December, the miner outbid Big Oil competitors to team up with Mexico’s state-owned company to develop the Trion field, the first major offshore field in which Petroleos Mexicanos is working with a foreign outfit.
Six years ago, BHP boosted its volumes significantly with the acquisition of Petrohawk Energy for $15.1 billion, including debt. Last year, BHP pumped the equivalent of 650,000 bopd and natural gas — about triple what Pioneer Natural Resources, a darling of U.S. shale investors, taps from its fields. In Australia, BHP is the second-largest oil producer, behind that country’s Woodside Petroleum Ltd. and ahead of international giants including Shell and Exxon Mobil Corp.
With BHP, Singer sees more growth potential for the U.S. petroleum arm if it’s separated into an entity listed in New York. In a 10-page public letter, Elliott Management said the value of the business was “being obscured by its continued inclusion” and “provides no meaningful diversification benefits.” Beyond that, Elliott said it would like to see the sale of other energy assets “on an ongoing basis.”
Singer has a history of trying to shake up the strategies of the companies in which he invests. He just needs to garner the support of other top shareholders, which include BlackRock Inc., Legal & General Group Plc and Capital Group Inc.
Michael Lynch of Strategic Energy & Economic Research in Winchester, Massachusetts, said the move may not make sense. “If you’re doing a good job making money in oil, there’s no reason to dispose of it,” he said.
BHP isn’t the first miner under pressure from activists to get out of oil, either through a spin off or an outright sale to a competitor. Copper giant Freeport-McMoRan Inc. last year sold much of its oil and gas businesses, in deals with Anadarko and a privately owned company worth $2.6 billion.
Although Freeport was also under pressure from an activist investor, in this case Carl Icahn, shareholders generally disliked the company’s big foray into oil, particularly two deals in 2012 to buy Plains Exploration & Production Co. and McMoRan Exploration Co. for roughly $20 billion, including debt.
For BHP, management has so far disagreed with separating U.S. oil assets from the larger company, saying it could “optimize the long-term value of the petroleum business through operating excellence.” The company also said there wasn’t an “obvious discount” between its valuation and a basket of oil and mining peers.
For all that, Singer “has provided a sensible set of suggestions,” Hunter Hillcoat, mining analyst at Investec Securities Ltd., said in a note to clients. What he proposed is “certainly the start of some agitation that BHP will need to defend.”
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