石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯2月21日消息，野村证券的关荣乐称，假设欧佩克成员国维持当前90%的减产协议执行率，而且全球需求像预期的那样增加140万桶/日，那么尽管美国原油产量将反弹，石油市场也将在今年年底前转为供应短缺。他表示，美国增加的产量不可能弥补欧佩克减产带来的供应缺口，因为他预计美国要到2019年才能使原油日产量增幅达到100万桶。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下：
Shale Producers Can’t Offset OPEC Output Cuts
Assuming OPEC nations maintain their current compliance rate of 90% to the recent supply-cut agreement and global demand does rise 1.4 million barrels/day as forecasted, oil market will move into deficit by year’s end despite rebounding US output, says Nomura’s Gordon Kwan. “No way the US can make up that difference” from OPEC reductions. That as he sees US production needing until 2019 to log daily growth of 1 million barrels.
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