石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯2月6日消息，据总部设在瑞典斯德哥尔摩的北欧斯安银行的分析师Bjarne Schieldrop表示，原油市场不仅仅正走向供需平衡，而且过去两年经济状况如此低迷，以至于到2019年很有可能出现120万桶/日的产量缺口。这位分析师在一份报告中称，2017年产量缺口将约为40万桶/日，2018年将扩大至50万桶/日，然后在2019年进一步扩大。Schieldrop还表示，虽然庞大的原油库存将提供一个缓冲，但2019年油价仍将涨至80美元/桶。
唐绍红摘译自道琼斯
原文如下：
Oil Market Faces Large Deficit By 2019
The oil market is not only equalizing, but the economic conditions have been so dire over the last two years that it is highly likely that there will be a production deficit of -1.2 million barrels a day by 2019, according to Bjarne Schieldrop from the Stockholm-based SEB bank. In a note, the analyst says that the deficit in 2017 will be about -400,000 b/d which will rise to -500.000 in 2018 before rising substantially in 2019. Mr. Schieldrop adds that while the huge amount of crude held in storage will provide a cushion, prices will still rise to $80 a barrel in 2019.
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