石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据OGJ网站1月11日休斯敦报道，根据全球著名能源咨询公司伍德麦肯兹公司（WM）的全球石油展望报告，今年全球最终投资决定（FID）数目预计将增加一倍，而勘探和生产的支出将出现2014年以来的首次增加。
这家研究和咨询公司在报告中认为油气行业的信心开始恢复，今年全球勘探和生产的支出将增加3%至4500亿美元，但比2014年水平仍低40%以及成本预计略微下降。
WM在报告中指出，在过去两年里资本支出通货紧缩平均为20%。由于服务部门利润微薄，WM认为现在只有小量减少的空间以及资本成本预计平均下降3%至7%。
WM在报告中预测，今年全球FID数目将从去年只有9个增加到20多个。虽然这个数字仍低于2010-2014年每年40个平均数，但新项目通常规模更小和更有效率，每桶石油当量的资本支出平均只有7美元/桶，远远低于2014年项目的每桶17美元。
李峻 编译
原文如下：
WoodMac: New upstream projects to double globally in 2017
HOUSTON
01/11/2017
OGJ
Final investment decisions (FID) are expected to double globally in 2017 while exploration and production spending will increase for the first time since 2014, according to Wood Mackenzie Ltd.’s global upstream outlook.
The research and consulting firm sees confidence beginning to return to the industry, with E&P spending up 3% to $450 billion—though still 40% below the 2014 level—and costs are expected to decline marginally.
WoodMac notes that capital expenditure deflation has averaged 20% over the past 2 years. With service sector margins thin, the firm believes there’s now only room for small reductions and capital costs are expected to fall by an average of 3-7%.
US Lower 48 spending is set to rise 23% to $61 billion, with upside if oil prices rise markedly and US independents are emboldened by a Trump presidency. Tight oil and the Permian basin in particular is expected to lead the way, distinguished by low breakevens, scale, and flexibility.
WoodMac predicts the number of global FIDs will rise to more than 20 in 2017, compared with just nine in 2016. While it’s still short of the 2010-14 average of 40/year, the new projects are generally smaller and more efficient, with capex per barrel of oil equivalent averaging just $7/bbl, down from $17/bbl for the 2014 projects.
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