中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社12月9日伦敦报道,全球著名能源咨询公司伍德麦肯兹公司(WM)周五(9日)在一份报告中指出,明年全球用于石油和天然气勘探的支出可能下降到今年的400亿美元以下,但是,更低的成本也意味着盈利能力将增加。
面对长达30个月的油价低迷,包括埃克森美孚公司和荷兰皇家壳牌公司在内的国际石油公司在最近几年里大幅削减支出预算,而勘探首当其冲。
根据WM,明年勘探在总的油气生产投资中的比例将下降到8%的新低。
WM勘探部门副总裁安德鲁•莱瑟姆说,明年的总投资将最多与今年大约400亿美元的花费匹敌,还可能进一步下降。2014年全球油气领域的总投资达到了950亿美元的峰值。
莱瑟姆说,明年全球的油气发现率预计下降,下降到平均每口井大约2500万桶油当量。
莱瑟姆说,世界上最大的石油公司通过近几年的勘探一直在努力取代产量的自然递减,他们在未来将不得不更多依赖收购油田和较小的公司。
李峻 编译
原文如下:
Oil Exploration Spending May Drop Further Next Year
Reuters
Friday, December 09, 2016
LONDON – Global spending on oil and gas exploration in 2017 could fall below this year’s $40 billion, but lower costs mean profitability will increase, consultancy Wood Mackenzie said in a report on Friday.
Faced with a 30-month-long oil price downturn, oil companies including Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell have slashed spending budgets in recent years, with exploration bearing the brunt.
According to Wood Mackenzie, the share of exploration in overall oil and gas production investment will dip to a new low of 8 percent in 2017.
“Overall investment will at best match 2016 year’s spend of around $40 billion, and may yet fall further,” said Andrew Latham, vice president of exploration at Wood Mackenzie. That compared with a 2014 peak of $95 billion.
The rate of discoveries is not expected to fall next year and to average around 25 million barrels of oil equivalent per well.
The world’s top oil companies have struggled to replace natural decline in production through exploration in recent years and will have to rely more on acquiring fields and smaller companies in the future, Latham said.
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