石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据WENews网站2019年1月20日休斯顿报道，国际能源署（IEA）周五表示，今年全球炼油产能将以创纪录的最快速度增长，这种增长可能会提振柴油、汽油和船用燃料等石油产品的库存。 IEA在一份月度报告中称，今年全球炼油产能将日增260万桶，全球成品油需求将日增大约110万桶。 总部位于巴黎主要协调工业化国家能源政策的IEA表示，目前尚不清楚这对利润意味着什么。由于去年原油价格上涨，利润大幅下滑。 IEA说：“这种(需求增长)只利用了即将投产的新产能的一半。如果调整后的原油价格能够支撑炼油利润，那么产能利用率将不会下降。这应该意味着产品库存将增加。” IEA表示，在国际海事组织（IMO）明年实施降低船运燃料含硫量的规定之前，增加成品油库存可能“有用”。 全球原油日加工量上月触及8420万桶的历史高位，仍令利润率承压。IEA称，今年全球炼油厂的原油日加工量将达到8340万桶，高于去年的8220万桶。 IEA说：“全球炼油行业正面临具有挑战性的2019年。如果平均原油价格连续第三年走高，炼油利润率可能降至迫使一些炼油地区放缓的水平。” 李峻 编译自 WENews.com 原文如下： Oil Refining Capacity to Grow at Record Pace Global oil refining capacity is set to increase at its fastest pace on record this year, possibly boosting stocks of products such as diesel, gasoline and marine fuel, the International Energy Agency said on Friday. Oil refining capacity will rise by 2.6 million barrels per day (bpd) and demand for refined products by around 1.1 million bpd, the IEA said in a monthly report. It was not clear yet what that meant for margins, which slumped as the price of crude rose last year, said the Paris-based IEA, which coordinates the energy policies of industrialized countries. “This (demand growth) utilizes only half of the new capacity coming on stream. If refining margins are supported by accommodating crude prices, utilization rates will not decline. This should mean that product stocks will increase,” it said. An increase in stocks of refined products could be “useful”, the IEA said, ahead of the implementation next year of regulations by the International Maritime Organization to reduce sulphur content in shipping fuel. Margins remain under pressure from rising oil throughput, which hit a historic high last month at 84.2 million bpd. Refineries will process 83.4 million bpd this year, compared with 82.2 million bpd last year, according to the agency. “The global refining industry is facing a challenging 2019 … If average crude prices continue moving higher for the third consecutive year, refining margins may decline to levels that force slowdown in some refining regions,” the IEA said.
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