中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社报道,由于原油价格回升的不确定性,西方石油公司等越来越多的生产商在2019年的钻井计划中变得保守,美国能源企业连续第二周削减石油钻井平台。 能源服务公司贝克休斯在上周五公布的一份报告中称,截至1月11日的一周内,能源企业削减了4座石油钻井平台,使总数量降至873座。 美国钻井平台的数量是衡量未来产量的早期指标,而今年的数量远高于一年前的水平(去年同期有752座钻井平台处于活跃状态),原因是能源企业为获取更高的价格投入了更多资金。 页岩气生产商表示,在2018年最后一个季度原油价格下跌近40%,全球供应过剩的担忧日益加剧之后,他们预计在2019年将减少钻探活动。 如果预测正确,这将是钻井平台数量三年来的首次下降,因为钻井平台数量在2018年和2017年分别增加了138座和222座。(能源企业在2016年削减了11座钻井平台)。 据联邦估计,过去钻井平台的增加帮助美国石油产量在2018年达到了预期的最高水平,达到了每天1090万桶,超过了1970年创纪录的每天960万桶。目前还没有2018年的官方数据。 美国金融服务公司Cowen & Co本周表示,它跟踪的勘探和生产公司为2019年提供的指导意见好坏参半,此前它们表示,将在2018年支出约887亿美元,比2017年的722亿美元高出23%。 Cowen & Co称,如Antero资源公司,到目前为止,预计今年只会增加9座钻机。 根据Cowen & Co数据,Antero本周宣布2019年钻探和完工预算为11亿美元至12.5亿美元,比2018年下降了约15%。 据贝克休斯表示,本周美国共有1075座活跃的石油和天然气钻井平台。大多数钻井同时生产石油和天然气。 美国投资银行Piper Jaffray能源专家西蒙斯公司的分析师们本周预测,2019年石油和天然气钻井平台的平均总量将从2018年的1032座降至999座,2020年将上升到1087座。 这比西蒙斯上周预测的略有下降,该公司上周曾预测2019年为1001座钻井平台,2020年为1094座。 詹晓晶摘自路透社 原文如下: U.S. oil drillers cut rigs for second week in a row: Baker Hughes U.S. energy firms cut oil rigs for a second week in a row as more producers, like Occidental Petroleum Corp, turned conservative in their 2019 drilling plans due to uncertainty over a recovery in crude prices. Drillers cut four oil rigs in the week to Jan. 11, bringing the total count down to 873, General Electric Co’s Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its closely followed report on Friday. The U.S. rig count, an early indicator of future output, is still much higher than a year ago when 752 rigs were active after energy companies boosted spending in 2018 to capture higher prices that year. Occidental, one of the largest producers in the Permian Basin, the biggest U.S. oil field, said on Monday it expected to spend $4.4 billion to $5.3 billion this year, compared with around $5 billion spent in 2018, depending on the price of crude oil. Shale producers said they expect to reduce their drilling activity in 2019 following a near 40 percent decline in crude prices during the last quarter of 2018 and mounting fears of global oversupply. If correct, that would be the first decline in the rig count in three years after drillers added 138 oil rigs in 2018 and 222 in 2017. They cut 11 rigs in 2016. Those past rig increases helped boost U.S. oil production to a projected all-time high of 10.9 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2018, according to federal estimates, topping the current record of 9.6 million bpd in 1970. Official data for 2018 is not yet available. U.S. financial services firm Cowen & Co this week said the exploration and production (E&P) companies it tracks have provided mixed guidance for 2019 after indicating they would spend about $88.7 billion in 2018, a 23 percent increase over the $72.2 billion they spent in 2017. Cowen said the firms it tracks, like Antero Resources Corp, were so far only expecting to add nine rigs this year. Antero this week announced a 2019 drilling and completion budget of $1.1-$1.25 billion, down about 15 percent from 2018, according to Cowen. There were 1,075 oil and natural gas rigs active in the United States this week, according to Baker Hughes. Most rigs produce both oil and gas. Analysts at Simmons & Co, energy specialists at U.S. investment bank Piper Jaffray, this week forecast the average combined oil and gas rig count will fall from 1,032 in 2018 to 999 in 2019 before rising to 1,087 in 2020. That is a slight reduction in Simmons forecast from last week of 1,001 rigs in 2019 and 1,094 in 2020.
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