石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据世界石油12月25日消息 由于对全球经济和华盛顿动荡的担忧掩盖了欧佩克可能加深减产的信号，原油价格跌至一年半以来的最低水平。 纽约期货圣诞前夜交易日收窄，期货价格下跌6.7%，投资者评估政府关停带来的威胁时，美国期货市场也随之下挫。最新的跌势使原油价格自10月份达到四年高点以来下跌了44%，其中包括自欧佩克和俄罗斯本月早些时候宣布大幅减产以来下跌的19%。 纽约对冲基金能源避险基金有限公司（Again Capital LLC）的合伙人John Kilduff表示：“随着股市下跌，金融市场普遍紧张，这只是在压低价格，需求前景继续受到质疑。” 欧佩克及其盟国12月7日同意减产，但迄今为止，它们在支撑油价方面并没有取得什么成效。阿拉伯联合酋长国的能源部长暗示，明年可能会讨论更多的限制措施。投资者对减产是否足以削弱供应持怀疑态度，美国原油产量仍高于1100万桶/日。 与此同时，中美之间正在进行的贸易战和美联储的利率政策正在引起对全球经济增长的担忧，标准普尔500指数周一下跌2.7%，能源指数下跌4%。 纽约商品交易所结算时，西德克萨斯州中质原油2月份交割的价格下跌3.06美元/桶，至42.53美元/桶。周一成交量较周二圣诞假期前的100日均值低30%左右，WTI在10月初触顶，接近77美元/桶。 伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所2月份结算的布伦特原油价格下跌3.35美元/桶，至50.47美元/桶，全球基准原油的交易价格比WTI高7.94美元。 欧盟能源部长Suhail Al Mazrouei表示，如果目前的减产措施还不够，欧佩克可以举行一次特别会议，决定进一步减产。在科威特的一次新闻发布会上，伊拉克、欧盟和阿尔及利亚的部长们轮流重申欧佩克将实施生产限制并继续与盟国合作的信息。 Kilduff表示，关于欧佩克的减产，他们必须以重大的方式贯彻他们的言辞，以便阻止油价下跌。 王磊 摘译自 世界石油 原文如下： Crude fell to the lowest level in a year and a half as concerns over the global economy and turbulence in Washington overshadowed signals from OPEC that it may deepen output cuts. Futures slid 6.7% in a shortened Christmas Eve session in New York, joining a rout in U.S. stocks as investors assess the threat from a government shutdown. The latest tumble left crude prices down 44% since reaching a four-year peak in October — including a 19% falloff since OPEC and Russia announced major output cuts earlier this month. “As stocks get taken down and there is nervousness across financial markets, it’s just undercutting prices here,” said John Kilduff, a partner at New York-based hedge fund Again Capital LLC. “The demand outlook continues to be called into question.” OPEC and its allies agreed to cut production on Dec. 7, but they’ve had little success so far in propping up prices. The United Arab Emirates’ energy minister signaled additional curbs could be discussed next year. Investors are skeptical the reductions will be sufficient to dent supplies, with U.S. crude output still above 11 MMbpd. At the same time, an ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China and the Federal Reserve’s rate policy are causing concerns over global economic growth. The S&P 500 Index sank 2.7% Monday, with its energy index shedding 4 percent. West Texas Intermediate for February delivery fell $3.06/bbl to $42.53/bbl at settlement on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Total volume traded Monday was about 30% below the 100-day average ahead of the Christmas holiday Tuesday. WTI peaked near $77/bbl in early October. Brent for February settlement dipped $3.35/bbl to $50.47/bbl on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark crude traded at an $7.94 premium to WTI. Suhail Al Mazrouei, the U.A.E.’s energy minister, said that OPEC has the option to hold an extraordinary meeting to decide on more output cuts if the current one isn’t enough. At a press briefing in Kuwait, ministers from Iraq, the U.A.E. and Algeria took turns repeating the message that OPEC will deliver its production curbs and continue to work with its allies. As for OPEC’s cuts, “they have to follow through on their rhetoric in a significant way” in order for the price decline to stop, Kilduff said.
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