石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据OGJ网12月19日消息 12月17日，纽约和伦敦期货市场原油基准价格连续第二个交易日跌逾1美元/桶，1月份轻质低硫原油合约跌破50美元/桶，而2月份布伦特合约跌破60美元/桶。 12月18日，纽约市场轻质低硫油价下跌超过3美元/桶，1月份合约收于46.24美元/桶，为2017年8月30日以来前月最低收盘。分析人士将油价大幅下跌归因于对石油产量超过石油需求增长的担忧。 美国原油期货价格自10月初触及5年高点以来，已下跌约40%，伦敦布伦特原油价格已下跌约35%。12月18日，布伦特2月份交割的合同跌逾3美元/桶，收于57美元/桶以下。 “这是大约15个月以来的最低水平，”德国商业银行分析师在12月19日的研究报告中写道。“高于平均水平的成交量意味着通过期货市场进行卖出,而价格跌破先前低点可能会引发投机者进一步抛售。” 12月17日，美国能源信息管理局在其石油钻探生产率报告中预测，美国七个主要页岩地区的石油日产量将增长近13.4万桶/日，到2019年1月将达到816.6万桶/日。 另据路透社报道，据消息人士透露，俄罗斯12月份日产量估计为1142万桶。俄罗斯已同意从2019年1月开始减少石油产量，不过俄罗斯官员表示，石油产量将逐渐减少。 高盛分析师预计，布伦特原油价格将在2019年反弹至每桶70美元以上。高盛大宗商品研究主管Jeff Currie在1月17日接受CNBC的“巨头午餐会”采访时表示，油价将反弹，但不会在一夜之间发生。 Currie表示，市场不会为供应削减的预期买单，它需要看到的是实实在在的产量缩减。 王磊 摘译自 OGJ 原文如下： Oil benchmark prices fell more than $1/bbl on New York and London futures markets for a second consecutive trading session Dec. 17 with the January contract for light, sweet crude oil settling below $50/bbl while Brent for February settled below $60/bbl. Light, sweet oil prices fell more than $3/bbl on New York market Dec. 18 with the January contract settling at $46.24/bbl, the front-month’s lowest closing since Aug. 30, 2017. Analysts blamed the steep drop on concerns that oil production is overtaking oil demand growth. US crude oil future prices have dropped about 40% and Brent crude oil prices on the London market have dropped about 35% since reaching 5-year highs in early October. On Dec. 18, the Brent contract for February delivery dropped more than $3/bbl to settle below $57/bbl. “These are their lowest levels in roughly 15 months,” Commerzbank analysts wrote in a Dec. 19 research note. “Above-average trading volumes point to selling via the futures market [and] the price falls below previous lows are likely to have triggered further selling by speculators.” In its Oil Drilling Productivity Report, the US Energy Information Administration on Dec. 17 forecast oil production from seven key US shale regions will rise by nearly 134,000 b/d to 8.166 million b/d in January 2019. Separately, Reuters reported that its sources said Russia is producing an estimated 11.42 million b/d during December. Russia has agreed to reduce oil production starting in January 2019 although Russian officials have said output will be tapered off gradually. Goldman Sachs analysts expect that Brent crude oil prices will rebound to average above $70/bbl in 2019. Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs head of commodities research, spoke with CNBC’s “Power Lunch” on Jan. 17, saying oil prices will rebound but that it will not happen overnight. “The market is not going to buy forward expectations of supply cuts,” Currie said. “ It needs to see real physical tightness.”
未经允许，不得转载本站任何文章：
