石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏新加坡12月18日消息，亚洲原油期货周二上午交易时段走低，延续下跌趋势，因为投资者仍然担心在需求疲弱的情况下供应增长。 新加坡时间上午10点40分（格林尼治标准时间0240），ICE 2月布伦特原油期货价格较周一收盘下跌63美分/桶（1.06％）至58.98美元/桶，而纽约商品交易所1月轻质低硫原油期货价格为51美分/桶（1.02％）低于49.37美元/ b。 美国能源情报署周一增加了对美国页岩油产量的预测，增加13.4万桶/天至816.6万桶/天。 1月份的预期增长是近期较为强劲的月度涨幅之一。11月，EIA预测12月石油产量将为794.4万桶/日，环比增加11.3万桶/日。 Phillip Futures的投资分析师Benjamin Lu表示：“由于投资者权衡美国页岩产量水平上升，以及2018年以后经济前景疲软，原油期货受到看跌影响。” 分析师称，对上周美国原油库存水平的好坏参半的预期，也拖累了油价。 普氏能源资讯周一调查的分析师预计，由于炼油厂运行率上升0.3个百分点，上周美国商业原油库存减少300万桶。 虽然许多市场多头肯定会欢迎油价回落，但油价下跌如此之大，将使石油储量达到4.39亿桶，相对于EIA数据的五年平均水平保持6.33%的盈余。 与调查对象相反，普氏能源资讯预计，随着美国产量上升和出口下降，美国原油库存将增加300万桶。 上周美国股市数据的最终数据将于周三晚些时候由美国EIA公布。 分析师称，中美之间持续的贸易紧张、伊朗暂时豁免出口的不确定性以及低迷的股市，也对压低油价起到了推动作用。 澳新银行分析师周二在一份报告中表示：“投资者还担心，欧佩克将难以遵守减产协议。在有证据表明产出正在下降之前，价格可能会继续承压。” 截至格林尼治标准时间0240，美元指数下跌0.58％，至96.55。 陈菲 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Crude oil futures continue downtrend amid supply concerns Crude oil futures were lower during mid-morning trade in Asia Tuesday, continuing the downtrend from the overnight slide as investors remained concerned about growing supply amid poor demand. At 10:40 am Singapore time (0240 GMT), ICE February Brent crude futures were down 63 cents/b (1.06%) from Monday’s settle to $58.98/b, while the NYMEX January light sweet crude contract was 51 cents/b (1.02%) lower at $49.37/b. The US Energy Information Administration on Monday increased its projection for US shale production in January — to rise by 134,000 b/d to 8.166 million b/d. January’s expected growth is one of the more robust monthly increases of late. In November, EIA predicted December’s oil output would be 7.944 million b/d, an increase of 113,000 b/d month on month. “Crude oil futures succumbed to bearish influences as investors weigh rising US shale production levels along with weaker economic prospects beyond 2018,” Benjamin Lu, investment analyst at Phillip Futures, said. Meanwhile, a mixed expectation on last week’s US crude inventory levels also weighed on prices, analysts said. Analysts surveyed Monday by S&P Global Platts expect US commercial crude stocks to have fallen 3 million barrels last week amid a 0.3 percentage point increase in refinery run rates. While a draw would certainly be welcome by many market bulls, a decline of this size would put stocks at 439 million barrels, keeping them steady at a 6.33% surplus to the five-year average of EIA data. Counter to survey respondents, S&P Global Platts Analytics expects US crude stocks to rise by 3 million barrels amid a rise in US production and a decline in exports. Definitive numbers on last week’s US stock data are due for release from the US EIA later Wednesday. Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, uncertainty around temporary waivers on Iranian exports and a poor equities market have also been instrumental in pressuring prices lower, analysts said. “Investors also remained concerned that OPEC will struggle to keep to its agreement to reduce output. This is likely to see prices remain under pressure until there is evidence that output is being cut,” ANZ analysts said in a note Tuesday. As of 0240 GMT, the US Dollar Index was down 0.58% at 96.55.
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