石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯 纽约商品交易所（NYMEX）1月份天然气期货合约周五跳涨16.1美分，收于4.488美元/百万英热，因当前和即将到来的天气超出了五年平均水平，调用了库存天然气。 前一个月合约在星期五交易价为4.231美元/百万英热和4.57美元/百万英热之间。 根据美国能源信息管理局的数据，截至11月30日的一周，调用了630亿立方英尺的库存，使美国天然气库存降至29910亿立方英尺，较上年同期下降19%，赤字约为20%，5年平均水平为37160亿立方英尺。 本次调用库存的量与五年均值580亿立方英尺持平,也与普氏能源查分析师预期的量持平.。 然而，由于过去几天及未来一段时间的强劲需求，二月及三月合约价格迅速大幅上涨。 2月份合约上涨16.1美分，收于4.378美元，3月份合约上涨23.1美分至4.155美元/百万英热。 过去三天总需求平均为1121亿立方英尺/日，较去年同期的912亿立方英尺/日增长近210亿立方英尺/日。 普氏能源数据显示，周五为1133亿立方英尺，周一至周末日均需求下降30亿立方英尺，为1100亿立方英尺/日。 IAF Advisors分析师凯尔•库珀表示，一些模型的长期气温预测是1月份将比正常情况更冷，再加上连续四天的需求量超过1000亿立方英尺，因此周五市场将走高。 然而，美国国家气象局预计，1月份美国大部分地区的气温将高于平均水平。 普氏能源的数据显示，美国干气总产量将在周五下降8亿立方英尺，至840亿立方英尺。过去两周生产平均接近860 亿立方英尺/日。 纽约商品交易所的结算价格被认为是初步的，并且可以改变，直到最终的结算价格在美国东部时间晚上7点公布。 王磊 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： The NYMEX January natural gas futures contract jumped 16.1 cents to settled at $4.488/MMBtu Friday as current and upcoming weather trumped a storage withdrawal that was largely in line with the five-year average. The front-month contract traded between $4.231/MMBtu and $4.57/MMBtu on Friday. The storage withdrawal of 63 Bcf in the week that ended November 30 put US gas inventories at 2.991 Tcf, according to the US Energy Information Administration, down 19% compared with a year earlier and at about a 20% deficit to the five-year average of 3.716 Tcf. The storage pull falls largely in line with the five-year average of 58 Bcf and also with the draw expected by a consensus of analysts surveyed by S&P Global Platts Analytics. However, the prompt, February and March contracts saw a significant jump in prices on strong demand over the past few days and the upcoming period. The February contract jumped 16.1 cents to settle at $4.378, while the March contract climbed 23.1 cents to $4.155/MMBtu. Total demand averaged 112.1 Bcf/d over the past three days, up nearly by 21 Bcf/d from 91.2 Bcf/d in the same period a year ago. Demand is expected to hit 113.3 Bcf Friday and drop 3 Bcf for an average of 110 Bcf/d over the weekend through Monday, Platts Analytics data showed. The long-term temperature forecast in some models is for a colder-than-normal January, and when combined with four consecutive days of demand above 100 Bcf, it is moving the market higher Friday, Kyle Cooper, an analyst at IAF Advisors, said. However, the US National Weather Service expects above-average temperatures in January across much of the US. Total US dry gas production is set to drop 800 MMcf day on day to 84 Bcf Friday, Platts Analytics data showed. Production averaged nearly 86 Bcf/d over the past two weeks. The NYMEX settlement price is considered preliminary and subject to change until a final settlement price is posted at 7 pm EST.
未经允许，不得转载本站任何文章：
