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原油期货供应和价格仍飘忽不定

中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源11月29日消息 欧洲原油期货在早盘交易中走势喜忧参半,供应状况逐渐呈现良好趋势。 格林威治时间12:01,1月份布伦特原油期货价格较周二收盘价下跌11美分,为60.10美元/桶。而1月份纽约商品交易所低硫原油合约价格上涨8美分,为51.64美元/桶。 由于美国石油研究所公布了截至11月23日以来当周美国原油库存增加345万桶,所以有市场消息人士称,美国传出熊市消息。 普氏能源周一的调查分析预计,库存将减少430000桶。 德国商业银行的分析师在一份研究报告中称,这一增长表明市场供过于求,并凸显出减少供应的需求。 北海有一些看涨情绪,但市场似乎已经摆脱了这种情绪。在技术问题得到解决之后,艾尔金-富兰克林石油和天然气联合企业在周二恢复了生产。 周二早些时候艾尔金-富兰克林的关闭已经严重影响到福蒂斯原油流,导致于巴扎德领域的持续停产。 于巴扎德领域仍处于关闭状态,作为经营者的中国独资的尼克森公司正在处理腐蚀问题,使英国石油日产量减少约130000万桶。 一些市场观察人士表示,周二暂时停产是价格支撑因素。福蒂斯原油是布伦特原油中占比最大的原油。 然而,德国商业银行分析师指出,这一故障仅影响150000桶/日的产量。明年全球市场即将出现的供过于求,大约是去年的十倍,这使得北海的生产中断看起来只不过是沧海一粟。 市场观察人士预计,在12月初欧佩克会议之前,一些主要产油国的代表将于本周在布宜诺斯艾利斯举行的20国集团首脑会议上讨论石油生产问题。一位分析人士说:“地缘政治学为会谈提供了一个不可预测的背景,我认为,目前还不清楚会谈将走向何方。” 王磊 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下: Crude oil futures were mixed in morning trading in Europe amid a picture of ever healthier supply. At 1201 GMT, January ICE Brent crude futures were down 11 cents from Tuesday’s close at $60.10/b. The January NYMEX sweet light crude contract gained 8 cents to $51.64/b. There was bearish news from the US, with the American Petroleum Institute reporting a 3.45 million-barrel build in US crude stocks for the week ended November 23, market sources said. Analysts surveyed by S&P Global Platts Monday had predicted a 430,000-barrel draw. The build points to an oversupplied market and highlights the need for supply to be reduced, analysts at Commerzbank said in a research note. There was some bullish sentiment from the North Sea but the market appears to have shaken this off. Production resumed Tuesday at the Elgin-Franklin oil and gas complex, which feeds Forties crude flows, after a technical issue was resolved. The shutdown at Elgin-Franklin earlier Tuesday had threatened to compound production problems with the Forties crude stream resulting from an ongoing maintenance shutdown at the Buzzard field. Buzzard remains closed while its operator, China-owned Nexen, deals with a corrosion issue, reducing UK oil output by around 130,000 b/d. Some market observers cited the temporary suspension of production as a price-supportive factor Tuesday. Forties oil is the largest contributing oil grade to the Brent basket. However, the glitch affects just 150,000 b/d of production, Commerzbank analysts pointed out. “The oversupply looming on the global market next year is roughly ten times as high, which makes the production outage in the North Sea seem nothing more than a drop in the ocean,” they said. Market observers expect representatives from some key oil-producing nations to discuss production at the G20 summit in Buenos Aires this week, ahead of an OPEC meeting in early December. Geopolitics present an unpredictable backdrop to the talks; “I think it is genuinely unclear at this stage which way it will go ,” one analyst said.
 

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