石油圈 中国石化新闻网讯 据《亚洲润滑油周报》9月14日消息，API II类基础油将逐步在印度获得市场份额，预计到2030年将超过I类基础油成为印度基础油消费的主导品种。
今年8月初召开的亚洲、中东和非洲基础油、润滑油和石蜡大会上，伊朗Sepahan石油公司商业经理Farzad Zandi表示，2016年印度基础油消费量为210万吨，预计2020年将增加至240万吨，到2030年将增加至320万吨。
Zandi表示，2016年，I类基础油占到印度总基础油消费量的71%，或150万吨，而II类基础油和III类基础油的消费量分别为40万吨和4万吨，占到总消费量的比例分别为19%和2%。到2020年，印度I类基础油消费量将减少至140万吨，II类基础油将小幅增加至60万吨，III类基础油消费量将增加至10万吨。
然而，到2030年，印度基础油市场的构成将发生显著变化，因为Sepahan石油公司预测，2030年印度I类基础油消费量将降至110万吨，占到当年预计总消费量34%的市场份额，而II类基础油消费量将大幅增加至140万吨，占到44%的市场份额。
张春晓摘译自 《亚洲润滑油周报》
原文如下： India Shifting Toward Group II
API Group II base oils are gradually gaining popularity in India and are expected to nudge aside Group I as the dominant grade by 2030.
Overall base oil consumption in the country sat at 2.1 million metric tons in 2016 and is expected to rise to 2.4 million tons by 2020 and 3.2 million tons by 2030, Farzad Zandi, commercial director for Sepahan Oil Co. of Iran said at the Asia, Middle East and Africa Base oil, Lubricants and Wax conference in early August.
Group I accounted for 71 percent of the total in 2016, or 1.5 million tons, Zandi said, while 400,000 tons of Group II were consumed and 40,000 tons of Group III, accounting for 19 and 2 percent, respectively. By 2020, Zandi believes Group I consumption will slip to 1.4 million tons, Group II will inch up to 600,000 metric tons and Group III should experience a healthy bump up to 100,000 tons.
By 2030, however, that breakdown will shift significantly, as Sepahan forecasts Group I consumption to decline to 1.1 million tons, or 34 percent of the projected total for that year. The refiner predicts that Group II consumption will skyrocket to 1.4 million tons, or 44 percent of the market.
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