石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据彭博社7月13日伦敦报道，国际能源机构周四表示，由于长时间的供应中断，支撑价格并威胁需求增长，全球石油供应缓冲可能会被拉伸到极限。 由于美国重新实施制裁，伊朗原油出口预计今年将下降，加之委内瑞拉产量下降，利比亚、加拿大和北海的石油供应中断，油价已升至近几周来的最高水平。 国际能源署表示，6月份欧佩克的原油产量达到了4个月以来的最高水平，达到每日387万桶。 中东地区7月份的闲置产能为每日160万桶，约占全球产量的2%。 国际能源署称，由于美国对伊朗的制裁预计将在今年第四季度“严重打击”，沙特阿拉伯可能进一步增产，这将把沙特的闲置产能降至100万桶以下的空前水平。 包括美国页岩气高涨在内的非欧佩克国家产量也继续上升，但IEA表示，这可能不足以缓解市场的担忧。 蔡小全 编译自 彭博社 原文如下： World’s oil cushion could be stretched to the limit, IEA warns The world’s oil supply cushion could be stretched to the limit due to prolonged outages, supporting prices and threatening demand growth, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday. The expected drop in Iranian crude exports this year due to renewed U.S. sanctions, coupled with a decline in Venezuela’s production and outages in Libya, Canada and the North Sea have driven oil prices to their highest since 2014 in recent weeks. The IEA said OPEC crude production in June reached a four-month high of 31.87 million barrels per day. Spare capacity in the Middle East in July was 1.6 million bpd, roughly 2 percent of global output. As U.S. sanctions on Iran are expected to “hit hard” in the fourth quarter of the year, Saudi Arabia could further ramp up output, which would cut the kingdom’s spare capacity to an unprecedented level below 1 million bpd, the IEA said. Non-OPEC production including from surging U.S. shale also continued to rise, but the IEA said that might not be enough to assuage concerns.
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