石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯伦敦4月13日消息，国际能源署(IEA)周五警告称，中美贸易摩擦升级可能会严重冲击全球对石油的强劲需求。 IEA在其备受关注的月度石油市场报告中称仍预计今年全球石油需求将增长150万桶/日，但警告称中美潜在的加征贸易关税令这一预期面临下调风险。 IEA估计全球GDP增速减少1%将令石油需求增长减少约69万桶/日。 报告指出：“船舶燃料消费量以及内陆商品运输减少将导致燃料油和柴油使用下降，直接冲击石油需求。” 3月份IEA上调了全球石油需求预期，认为今年全球市场需求将达到9930万桶/日，在一定程度上抵消美国页岩油产量激增带来的影响，帮助维持市场平衡。 张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯
原文如下： China-U.S. Trade Dispute Could Knock Oil Demand, Says IEA The world’s robust appetite for oil could be significantly dented by the escalating trade dispute between the U.S. and China, the International Energy Agency warned Friday. In its closely watched monthly oil market report, the IEA said it continued to expect global oil demand to grow by 1.5 million barrels a day in 2018, but cautioned that potential U.S. and Chinese trade tariffs posed a “downward risk” to the forecast. The IEA estimated that a reduction of 1% in world gross domestic product growth would reduce oil demand growth by around 690,000 barrels a day. “Oil demand would suffer the direct impact of lower bunker consumption and lower inland transportation of traded goods, reducing fuel oil and diesel use,” the report noted. The IEA, a Paris-based organization that advises governments and corporations on energy trends, raised its forecast in March for global oil demand, saying it would reach 99.3 million barrels a day in 2018 and help keep the market in balance by partly offsetting a surge in U.S. shale production.
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