石油圈 中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯2月1日安特卫普报道，全球最著名管理咨询公司麦肯锡公司主管图沙尔· 班赛尔日前在安特卫普举行的标普全球普氏能源资讯年度中间馏分油会议上对与会者说，亚洲对石油产品的需求在2025年前将超过当前和即将到来的炼油产能。 尤其是，亚洲的两个最大石油产品消费国中国和印度在2025年前将从石油产品余额转移到石油产品赤字。 班赛尔说，在中国，需求将继续上升，而本国炼油能力将无法跟上需求增加的步伐，从而导致中国届时成为石油产品净进口国。2020年以后，国际投资者可能会看到中国炼油投资机会的复苏。 班赛尔预计，由于中国从工业经济转向更多面向服务的经济，2010年至2018年之间中国的石油产品需求将以每年5%的速度增长，在2025年前变为年增2%。 李峻 编译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Asian oil products demand to outweigh refinery capacity by 2025: McKinsey Asian demand for oil products will outweigh current and upcoming refinery capacity by 2025, Tushar Tarun Bansal, Director at McKinsey, told attendees at S&P Global Platts annual Middle Distillates Conference in Antwerp Thursday.
In particular, China and India were singled out as two of the largest consumers that will move from a current oil product balances to an oil product deficit by 2025.
In China, demand continues to rise, and refining capacity will be incapable of keeping pace resulting in China being reduced to a net importer, Bansal said. Beyond 2020, international players might see a revival in refining investment opportunities in China.
Bansal expects demand in China to grow by 5% per year between 2010 and 2018, changing to 2% per year by 2025 as the country moves from an industrial economy to a more service-oriented economy.
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