中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯1月5日消息,凯投宏观首席大宗商品经济学家Caroline Bain表示,受非欧佩克产量日益增加的影响,今年原油价格可能会从2017年末的强劲涨幅中回落。周五Bain 在一份报告中写道:“美国石油产量一直在稳步增长,美国石油产量达到象俄罗斯和沙特阿拉伯这样的每天逾一千万桶的水平似乎只是一个时间问题。”她还警告称,不要过多解读本周美国能源信息署(EIA)发布的原油库存数据。EIA数据显示本周原油库存进一步下降。她写道:“虽然美国原油库存在下降,但这更多的是由于受到美国年底税收激励刺激炼油厂加大开工率水平,而不是强劲的潜在需求。” 唐绍红 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下: Crude Prices to ‘Ease Back’ in 2018 Crude oil prices are likely to pull back this year from the strong gains of late 2017, a result of rising non-OPEC production, according to Caroline Bain, chief commodities economist at Capital Economics. “U.S. output has been rising steadily and it seems to be just a matter of time until the U.S. joins Russia and Saudi Arabia in producing over 10 million barrels a day,” Ms. Bain writes in a note Friday. She also cautions against reading too much into data this week from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which showed a further decline in crude inventories. “While U.S. stocks are falling, this has more to do with high refinery runs-encouraged by end-year tax incentives-than strong underlying demand,” she wrote.
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