中国石化新闻网讯 据道琼斯11月21日消息,摩根大通在2018年全球大宗商品展望报告中关于石油提出了几个关键点:为了避免再次出现供应过剩的情况,欧佩克和非欧佩克产油国减产协议需要延长;即使供应问题得到解决,油价上涨也可能侵蚀需求。报告指出:“在欧佩克和非欧佩克减产协议延长的支撑下,2018年石油市场将实现平衡。如果不延长减产协议,石油市场将处于供应过剩状态中。美国页岩油在2018年将继续对油价作出反应。我们预计布伦特原油将在40美元-60美元/桶区间的顶部进行交易,2018年布伦特原油平均价格预计为58美元/桶。WTI原油平均价格预计为54.6美元/桶。” 张春晓 摘译自 道琼斯 原文如下: JPMorgan Sees Oil Near $55 in 2018 JPMorgan’s 2018 Global Commodities Outlook makes a couple key points regarding oil: An OPEC/Non-OPEC production cut extension is needed to avoid another glut, and higher prices may eat into demand even if the supply problem gets fixed. “Oil markets in 2018 will be balanced on the back of extended OPEC-NOPEC production cuts. Without it, markets will be in surplus,” the report says. “US shale will continue to react to oil prices in 2018. We expect Brent to trade at the top of the $40-60/bbl range, with Brent averaging $58/bbl in 2018. WTI is expected to average $54.6/bbl.”
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