石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯8月11日伦敦报道，国际能源署（IEA）周五在其最新月度报告中说，随着大部分季节性增加来自前苏联和中东的石油出口商，全球第三季度炼油加工量预计将比第二季度日增80万桶，全球第三季度炼油日加工量将达到8110万桶。 IEA还表示，预计8月份全球炼油加工量将达到其年度高峰的8140万桶，并预计第三季度的炼油日加工量也将同比增长90万桶。 IEA表示，在8月份达到峰值以后，全球炼油活动在9月份和10月份将出现季节性下降。由于中国和印度新产能的启动，全球炼油活动在11月份将出现反弹。 IEA表示，7月份炼油联合体的利润得到了“来自欧洲更强劲的季节性需求和炼油问题”的支持。IEA指出，导致欧洲更强劲需求的主要原因是两家德国炼油厂的供应中断，其中一家位于希腊，另一家位于荷兰的佩尔尼斯，它是欧洲最大的炼油厂。 李峻 编译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： Q3 refinery throughput to ramp up, driven by FSU, Middle East: IEA Global refining throughput in Q3 is expected to ramp up by 800,000 b/d from Q2 to 81.1 million b/d, “with most of the seasonal increase coming from oil exporters in the FSU [former Soviet Union] and the Middle East,” the International Energy Agency said in its latest monthly report Friday.
Refining throughput is expected to reach its annual peak in August, with runs at 81.4 million b/d, it also said, adding that Q3 throughput is also forecast to grow 900,000 b/d year on year.
Following the August peak, “global refining activity will seasonally decline in September and October, before bouncing back in November,” when growth will come from the start-up of new capacity in China and Vietnam, the IEA said.
Complex refinery margins in July drew support from “stronger seasonal demand and refinery problems in Europe,” the IEA said, noting outages at two German refineries, one in Greece and at the Netherlands’ Pernis, Europe’s biggest refinery.
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