石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据普氏能源资讯华盛顿8月8日消息，美国能源信息署（EIA）小幅上调了今年第四季度和明年美国天然气产量预测，主要是因为来自于发电行业的需求增长以及出口大幅提升。 EIA在周二发布的8月份短期能源市场展望报告将今年第四季度美国天然气产量预测上调8.4亿立方英尺/天至821亿立方英尺/天。 EIA代理署长Howard Gruenspecht在公告中称：“未来两年，美国天然气产量增速预计加快，2017年的增速预计超过2%，而2018年增速将超过5.5%。” 他补充道：“预计2018年美国天然气产量将创历史新高，这与预计中的来自于燃气发电厂电力产量增加以及美国天然气出口量将增加23%相一致。” EIA预计，美国天然气出口量将从2017年的86.6亿立方英尺/天增加至2018年时的106.2亿立方英尺/天。对于2018年的预测比前一次预测上调5.3%。 EIA将2017年的天然气产量估计值上调2.1亿立方英尺/天至789.1亿立方英尺/天，将2018年估计值上调10.1亿立方英尺/天至833亿立方英尺/天。 张春晓 摘译自 普氏能源资讯 原文如下： US EIA raises gas market production estimates The US Energy Information Administration nudged up its natural gas production estimates for the fourth quarter and coming year amid rising demand from the generation sector and a boost in exports. The agency, in its August Short-Term Energy Outlook Tuesday, raised by 840 MMcf/d to 82.1 Bcf/d its natural gas marketed production estimate for the US in Q4 2017. “US natural gas production growth is expected to accelerate over the next two years, with growth rates over 2% in 2017 and over 5.5% in 2018,” said EIA Acting Administrator Howard Gruenspecht in a statement accompanying the outlook. “Forecast record natural gas production in 2018 coincides with an expected rise in electricity generation from natural-gas fired power plants and a 23% increase in US natural gas exports,” he added. From 2017 to 2018, EIA projects US gross exports of gas will rise to 10.62 Bcf/d from 8.66 Bcf/d. The 2018 estimate is up 5.3% from the prior forecast. The agency raised its production estimate 210 MMcf/d to 78.91 Bcf/d for full-year 2017, and raised its 2018 estimate 1.01 Bcf/d to average 83.3 Bcf/d.
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