石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社7月13日伦敦报道，由于原油价格低于其预算所需价格侵蚀了来自额外增加产量的收益，今年加纳石油产量的激增可能无助于缓解这个西非国家的财政压力。 今年的布伦特原油均价为每桶52美元，低于预算56美元的预期，这可能恶化加纳政府旨在缩小财政赤字的计划。在埃尼公司5月份投产桑科法油田以及由于英国图洛石油公司在加纳的第二个项目的产量增加，加纳今年的石油产量将比去年增加三分之一以上。 由于加纳寻求提高投资者被今年1月份宣布的高达70亿欧元（16亿美元）预算缺口削弱的信心，世界第二大可可生产国计划今年把其财政赤字在国内生产总值中所占比例削减到6.5%。 Databank集团在阿克拉的经济学家Martey在电话中表示：“低于预期的原油价格意味着尽管来自额外油田的石油产量增加，但加纳政府的石油收入前景仍然存在下行风险。我们预计加纳政府将把赤字目标朝上移。” 李峻 编译自 路透社 原文如下： Ghana Oil Boon Not Enough to Plug Budget Hole as Prices Drop A surge in Ghana’s oil output this year may do little to ease the West African nation’s fiscal strains as crude prices are lower than what it budgeted, eroding the gains from extra production. This year’s average Brent crude price of $52 a barrel is below the $56 forecast in the budget, which could complicate the state’s plans to narrow the fiscal deficit. Output is set to climb by more than a third in 2017 from a year earlier after Eni SpA started up the Sankofa field in May, and as production rises at Tullow Plc’s second project in the country. The world’s second-biggest cocoa producer plans to cut its fiscal deficit to 6.5 percent of gross domestic product this year as it seeks to raise investor confidence eroded by the announcement in January of a 7 billion-cedi ($1.6 billion) hole in the budget. Lower-than-forecast crude prices mean “there could still be downside risks to government’s oil-revenue outlook, despite increased oil output from the additional field,” Courage Martey, an Accra-based economist at Databank Group, said by phone. “We expect the government to revise the deficit target northwards.”
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