石油圈中国石化新闻网讯 据World Oil网站2月14日华盛顿报道，美国能源信息署（EIA）最近发布的年度能源展望2017年报告预测美国的致密油产量在今后的10年里将增加到600多万桶/天，届时将弥补美国大部分石油总产量。
报告说，2026年以后，由于致密油开发进入低生产地区以及井生产力下降，致密油产量在2040年底前将保持相对稳定。
在诸如巴肯、鹰滩和二叠纪盆地那样的主要页岩远景区的钻井效率提高以及减少钻井成本的技术改善的驱动下，美国的致密油产量自2010年以来出现显著增加。
2015年，美国超过50%的石油总产量来自致密油远景区的产量，当时致密油日产量达到490万桶。致密油产量和美国石油总产量预计在2030年前继续增加。
李峻 编译
原文如下：
Tight oil expected to make up most of U.S. oil production increase through 2040, EIA says
WORLD OIL
2/14/2017
WASHINGTON, D.C. — EIA’s recently released Annual Energy Outlook 2017 (AEO2017) projects that U.S. tight oil production will increase to more than 6 MMbpd in the coming decade, making up most of total U.S. oil production. After 2026, tight oil production remains relatively constant through 2040 as tight oil development moves into less productive areas and as well productivity decreases.
U.S. production of tight oil has increased significantly since 2010, driven by technological improvements that have reduced drilling costs and improved drilling efficiency in major shale plays such as the Bakken, Eagle Ford, and the Permian basin. Production from tight oil plays surpassed 50% of total U.S. oil production in 2015 when tight oil production reached 4.9 MMbpd. Tight oil production and overall U.S. oil production are expected to increase through around 2030.
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